Filed by Exelon Corporation
Reg. No. 333-155278
Pursuant to Rule 425 under the
Securities Act of 1933, as amended
Subject Company: NRG Energy, Inc.
On July 2, 2009, Exelon Corporation used the following presentation in meetings with RiskMetrics Group and PROXY Governance, Inc.:
Exelons
Offer Is About Value Today and Tomorrow Are EXC and NRG Together, or Is NRG Stand Alone, Better Built to Add Value in a Complex and Carbon-Constrained World? RiskMetrics Group PROXY Governance, Inc. July 2, 2009 |
Important
Information 2 This presentation relates, in part, to the offer (the Offer) by Exelon Corporation
(Exelon) through its direct wholly-owned subsidiary, Exelon Xchange
Corporation (Xchange), to exchange each issued and outstanding share of common stock (the NRG shares) of NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) for 0.545 of a share of Exelon common stock.
This presentation is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer
to exchange, or a solicitation of an offer to exchange, NRG shares, nor is it a substitute for the Tender Offer Statement on Schedule TO or the Prospectus/Offer to Exchange
included in the Registration Statement on Form S-4 (Reg. No. 333-155278)
(including the Letter of Transmittal and related documents and as amended from time to
time, the Exchange Offer Documents) previously filed by Exelon and Xchange with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC). The Offer is made only through the Exchange Offer Documents.
Investors and security holders are urged to read these documents and other
relevant materials as they become available, because they will contain important information. Exelon filed a proxy statement on Schedule 14A with the SEC on June 17, 2009 in connection with
the solicitation of proxies (the NRG Meeting Proxy Statement) for the 2009
annual meeting of NRG stockholders (the NRG Meeting). Exelon will also file a proxy statement on Schedule 14A and other relevant documents with the SEC in connection with
its solicitation of proxies for a meeting of Exelon shareholders (the Exelon
Meeting) to be called in order to approve the issuance of shares of Exelon common stock pursuant to the Offer (the Exelon Meeting Proxy Statement). Investors and
security holders are urged to read the NRG Meeting Proxy Statement and the Exelon
Meeting Proxy Statement and other relevant materials as they become available, because
they will contain important information. Investors and security holders can obtain copies of the materials described above (and all other
related documents filed with the SEC) at no charge on the SECs website:
www.sec.gov. Copies can also be obtained at no charge by directing a request for such materials to Innisfree M&A Incorporated, 501 Madison Avenue, 20th Floor, New York, New York
10022, toll free at 1-877-750- 9501. Investors and security holders may
also read and copy any reports, statements and other information filed by Exelon, Xchange or NRG with the SEC, at the SEC public reference room at 100 F Street, N.E., Washington,
D.C. 20549. Please call the SEC at 1-800-SEC-0330 or visit the SECs
website for further information on its public reference room. Exelon, Xchange
and the individuals to be nominated by Exelon for election to NRGs Board of Directors will be participants in the solicitation of proxies from NRG stockholders for the NRG Meeting or any adjournment or
postponement thereof. Exelon and Xchange will be participants in the solicitation of
proxies from Exelon shareholders for the Exelon Meeting or any adjournment or postponement thereof. In addition, certain directors and executive officers of Exelon and Xchange
may solicit proxies for the Exelon Meeting and the NRG Meeting. Information
about Exelon and Exelons directors and executive officers is available in Exelons proxy statement, dated March 19, 2009, filed with the SEC in connection with
Exelons 2009 annual meeting of shareholders. Information about Xchange and
Xchanges directors and executive officers is available in Schedule II to the Prospectus/Offer to Exchange. Information about any other participants is included in the
NRG Meeting Proxy Statement or the Exelon Meeting Proxy Statement, as applicable.
|
Forward-Looking Statements This presentation includes forward-looking statements. There are a number of risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the
forward-looking statements made herein. The factors that could cause
actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements include
Exelons ability to achieve the synergies contemplated by the proposed
transaction, Exelons ability to promptly and effectively integrate the businesses of NRG and Exelon, and the timing to consummate the proposed transaction and obtain required
regulatory approvals as well as those discussed in (1) the Exchange Offer Documents;
(2) Exelons 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K in (a) ITEM 1A. Risk Factors,
(b) ITEM 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and
Results of Operations and (c) ITEM 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data:
Note 18; (3) Exelons first quarter 2009 Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q filed
on April 23, 2009 in (a) Part II, Other Information, ITEM 1A. Risk Factors and (b) Part I, Financial Information, ITEM 1. Financial Statements: Note 13 and (4) other factors
discussed in Exelons filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to
place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which apply only as of
the date of this communication. Exelon does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any revision to its forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this communication, except as required by
law. Statements made in connection with the exchange offer are not subject to the safe
harbor protections provided to forward-looking statements under the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All information in this presentation concerning NRG, including its business, operations, and
financial results, was obtained from public sources. While Exelon has no
knowledge that any such information is inaccurate or incomplete, Exelon has not had
the opportunity to verify any of that information. 3 3 |
Background
4 4 On October 19, 2008 Exelon announced its proposal to acquire NRG and create the largest, most diverse generation company in the U.S. 100% stock consideration, fixed exchange ratio of 0.485 shares of EXC for every share of NRG representing an initial premium of 37% The EXC/NRG combination would be the premier power company in a complex, dynamic industry Largest U.S. power company (~48,000 MW ) with market cap of ~$40 billion and investment grade balance sheet Significant presence in five major competitive markets (Illinois, Pennsylvania, Texas, California and the Northeast) rather than two or three Second lowest carbon emitting intensity in the industry Exelon has increased its offer 12% to 0.545, representing a 44% 4 premium today 4 We are seeking your support to elect nine new, independent NRG directors who will not constitute a majority of the NRG Board and who will act in the best interest of NRG shareholders 1. Premium of 37% based on EXC and NRG closing stock prices on October 17, 2008. 2. Includes owned and contracted capacity after giving effect to planned asset divestitures.
3. Exelon and NRG market capitalization as of 6/26/09. 4. 44% premium assumes that Exelon and NRG stand-alone stock prices are halfway between the
implied stock price based on comparable company indices and the current stock price as
of 6/26/09. 2 1 3 |
For NRG
Shareholders, a Combination Means: 5 Scope, scale and strength to build on Exelons proven capacity to
Execute strategic objectives from a solid financial foundation, with ready access to low-cost capital Realize significant value creation through operational and financial synergies Diversify across power markets, fuel types and regulatory jurisdictions Respond to universally recognized need for industry consolidation Be a significant voice in industry, policy and regulatory discussions |
1. Exelon: Sustainable Advantage 2. Exelon-NRG: A Clear Strategic Fit 3. Value for NRG Shareholders 4. Achievable Plan to Execute Deal 5. Action Sought Discussion Points: 6 |
Multi-Regional Diverse Company 7 Note: Owned megawatts based on Generations ownership at December 31, 2008, using annual mean ratings for nuclear units (excluding Salem) and summer ratings for Salem and the fossil and hydro units. Midwest Capacity Owned: 11,388 MW Contracted: 3,230 MW Total: 14,618 MW ERCOT/South Capacity Owned: 2,222 MW Contracted: 2,917 MW Total: 5,139 MW New England Capacity Owned: 182 MW Total Capacity Owned: 24,809 MW Contracted: 6,483 MW Total: 31,292 MW Electricity Customers: 1.6M Gas Customers: 0.5M Electricity Customers: 3.8M Generating
Plants Nuclear Hydro Coal/Oil/Gas Base-load Intermediate Peaker Mid-Atlantic Capacity Owned: 11,017 MW Contracted: 336 MW Total: 11,353 MW |
1. EXC market capitalization as of 6/26/09. 2. Shareholder return from Exelon inception (10/20/00) through 6/26/09. Total return after
reinvesting all dividends back into the security at the closing price on the day
following the relevant ex-dividend date. Includes stock price appreciation with dividend reinvestment. Excludes taxes and fees. Exelons Sustainable Advantage 8 Largest market capitalization in the sector at $33B and an investment grade balance sheet Investment grade balance sheet that enables consistent access to capital at lower cost Experienced management team with track record of creating and returning shareholder value Exelon formed through combination of ComEd and PECO in 2000 total shareholder return has reached 124% since that time compared to 45% for the
Philadelphia Utility Index, and a negative 23% for the S&P 500 2 Largest merchant generator in the U.S. based on power produced Management team and culture well-experienced and well-suited for todays complex and competitive markets 19 nuclear reactors largest nuclear operator in U.S., third largest in the world Industry-leading management model that consistently drives highest capacity factors (94%) and lowest generating cost of any nuclear fleet in the U.S. A plan to build 1,300-1,500 MW of new nuclear through uprates Largest carbon upside in the industry In addition to positive leverage to any upside from gas, coal and capacity prices 1 |
Exelon Is Built
to Last and Consistently Creates Value Operational Prowess 9 Solid Balance Sheet Consistent Dividends $10.00 $12.00 $14.00 $16.00 $18.00 $20.00 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Exelon Industry Nuclear Annual Avg. Production Cost ($/MWh) $1.26 $1.60 $1.60 $1.76 $2.03 $0 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009E $2.50 $2.10 Investment Grade Rating (BBB/A3/BBB+) Broad Access To The Deepest Capital Markets: - $4.3 trillion High Grade Bond market - $1.2 trillion Commercial Paper market Lower Cost of Capital: - Offers $250 M in aggregate interest savings over the next five years relative to non-investment grade debt pricing Financial and Operational Flexibility: - Ability to negotiate hedging transactions with better margining terms or avoid incremental credit charges 1. Exelon Generation Senior Unsecured credit ratings. 2. Based on internal analysis. Changes in market conditions could impact results.
65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% Operator (# of Reactors) Range 5-Year Average 1 2 |
Exelons
Long-Term Value Drivers Generate Post- Transaction Value for All
Shareholders Carbon Nuclear Uprates PA Procurement Cost Reductions Long-term fundamentals create value beyond what is currently reflected in Exelons stock price - $1.1 billion and growing annual upside to Exelon EBITDA from Waxman-Markey legislation - 1,300 MW - 1,500 MW in Exelon nuclear uprates by 2017 increases the value of the existing fleet - $2,200-2,500/kW overnight cost for uprates vs. $4,000-4,500/kW for new build and additional ~$110/kW in annual savings from lower incremental operating costs from uprates - $100-102/MWh result in June PECO power procurement suggests robust pricing and higher margins at Exelon Generation in 2011 and beyond - $350 million in announced O&M reductions for 2010, more than half of which is sustainable 10 1. Assumes $15/tonne carbon pricing. 2. Reflects retail price including line losses and gross receipts tax. 1 2 |
11 Incremental 1,300 1,500 MWs of Exelon uprates over 2009-2017 exceeds NRGs expected ownership of STP 3&4 Exelon has substantial experience managing 1,100 MWs of uprate projects over the past 10 years Less Risk: less risk of cost overruns and delays; uprates can also be phased in based on market conditions which adds value Lower Cost: Uprates do not materially increase the O&M of existing plants, saving ~$110/kW in annual costs vs. a
new nuclear plant Exelons Nuclear Uprate Plan Delivers More MWs Than NRG New Build - With Less Risk At Half The Cost 1,170 MW (44% Equity Ownership) Average Overnight Cost Estimate of U.S. New Build: $4,000-4,500/kW Year Uprates Become Operational 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1999- 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2009- 2017 MWs 1,100 MWs 1,300 1,500 MW Average Overnight Cost Estimate: $2,200 - 2,500/kW Exelons Uprate Plan NRGs New Nuclear Plan at Max Equity Position 1. Exelon expects that NRGs planned equity selldown would further reduce NRG's net equity interest to approximately 35%, or 936 MW, and possibly even less We are impressed with Exelon's optimistic plans to add up to 1,500 MW from nuclear
uprates over the next eight years
The returns on these investments should be very attractive, as the company does not
anticipate a higher run- rate of O&M expenses (i.e., O&M/MWh should decrease). - Angie Storozynski, Macquarie Securities, June 12, 2009 1 |
1. Exelon: Sustainable Advantage 2. Exelon-NRG: A Clear Strategic Fit 3. Value for NRG Shareholders 4. Achievable Plan to Execute Deal 5. Action Sought Discussion Points: 12 |
Combination
Will Result in Scope, Scale and Financial Strength 13 Pro Forma Exelon Pro Forma Quick Stats ($s in millions) Combined assets 1 $73,000 LTM EBITDA 2 $10,000 Market cap (as of 6/26/2009) $40,000 Enterprise value 3 $58,000 Generating capacity 4 ~48,000 MWs Enterprise Value Market Cap $0 Exelon FPL Duke Dominion First Energy Entergy $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $58 BILLION NRG Southern 1. Reflects total assets (under GAAP) with no adjustments. Based upon 3/31/09 10-Q. 2. Reflects Last Twelve Months EBITDA (Earnings before Interest, Income Taxes, Depreciation and
Amortization) as of 3/31/09 with no adjustments. 3.
Calculation of Enterprise Value = Market Capitalization (as of 6/26/09) + Total
Debt (as of 3/31/09) + Preferred Securities (as of 3/31/09) + Minority Interest (as
of 3/31/09) Cash & Cash Equivalents (as of 3/31/09). Debt, Preferred Securities, Minority Interest and Cash & Cash Equivalents based upon 3/31/09 Form 10-Q. 4. Includes owned and contracted capacity after giving effect to planned divestitures. |
14 Geographically complementary generation asset base Predominantly located in competitive markets Strong presence in PJM (Mid-Atlantic and Midwest) and ERCOT By RTO Combined PJM 22,830 ERCOT 13,232 MISO 1,065 ISO NE 2,202 NYISO 3,960 CAL ISO 2,085 Contracted 6,483 51,857 SERC 2,295 WECC 45 Total 54,297 By Fuel Type Combined Nuclear 18,158 Coal 9,001 Gas/Oil 18,818 Other 1,837 Contracted 6,483 1. Excludes international assets. Before any divestitures. 2. Contracted in various RTOs, mainly in
PJM and ERCOT. Exelon NRG Combination Will Operate in Most Attractive Markets 1 1 2 |
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 <1% <1% Exelon ~150,000 GWh Pro Forma Exelon ~221,000 GWh Historical Forward Coal Prices Combined Entity Will Continue to Benefit from Low Cost Fuel Sources Powder River Basin and lignite coal supply (90% of NRGs coal) provides low-sulfur at a relatively stable price as compared to northern and central Appalachian coal mines. 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 Northern Appalachian Production Costs Combined fleet will continue to be predominantly low-cost fuel. 6% Other Coal Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2007 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 $/mmbtu 15 Powder River Basin Central Appalachian Hydro/Other Gas/Oil Other Coal PRB & Lignite Coal Nuclear 3% <1% Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Nuclear Coal Gas Petroleum 6% Coal 93% Nuclear 67% Nuclear 23% PRB & Lignite Coal 2 1 1 1. Based on 2008 data, does not include ~26,000 GWh of Exelon Purchased Power. 2. Historically, Ligntite Coal prices have had similar volatility as Powder River Basin
Coal. |
Largest Fleet,
2 nd Lowest Carbon Intensity Source: Ventyx Velocity Suite Database CO2 Emissions of 15 Largest U.S. Electricity Generators Bubble size represents carbon intensity, expressed in terms of metric tons of CO2 per MWh generated Note: Does not consider effects of proposed or unplanned divestitures. 0 50 100 150 50 100 150 200 2008 Gross Generation (TWh) Exelon Exelon + NRG AEP Southern Duke TVA FPL Entergy Dominion Berkshire Hathaway Calpine NRG First Energy Xcel Ameren Progress 250 Top 15 Generators by CO2 Intensity 15 Berkshire Hathaway 0.84 14 Ameren Corp 0.81 13 NRG Energy 0.78 12 AEP 0.77 11 Xcel Energy 0.74 10 Southern 0.69 9 Duke Energy 0.63 8 Progress Energy 0.61 7 TVA 0.60 6 FirstEnergy 0.55 5 Dominion 0.49 4 Calpine 0.39 3 FPL Group 0.33 Exelon + NRG 0.31 2 Entergy 0.27 1 Exelon 0.06 1. Exelon 2020 is Exelons comprehensive plan to reduce, displace or offset 15 million metric
tons of greenhouse gas emissions each year by 2020. Exelon 2020 1 principles will be adapted to the combined fleet 16 |
Carbon
Legislation is Gaining Momentum and Will Benefit the Combined Company Waxman-Markey legislation provides allocations to merchant coal units only if they actually run
in any given year with this allocation mechanism, merchant coal plants will
dispatch more than is economically efficient and fewer merchant coal plants will
retire If merchant coal allocations are granted in a manner that does not change dispatch and retirement
incentives, Exelons EBITDA would increase by about $1.5 billion and NRGs
EBITDA would increase by about $150M in Year 1 While Exelon has supported merchant coal allocations as part of an overall industry compromise, if
no allocations are granted, Exelons EBITDA would increase by $1.5 billion and
NRGs EBITDA will decrease by $150M in Year 1 Note: Dollar values reflect
illustrative results based on potential outcomes of climate legislation and should not be interpreted as a forecast for future periods. The carbon benefit to be realized by Exelons nuclear fleet will significantly exceed the carbon costs faced by NRGs coal-dominated generation fleet $1,100 Exelon NRG ($M) Year 1 EBITDA Impact of $15/tonne Carbon With Waxman-Markey Merchant Coal Allocations There is no case where carbon legislation is better for NRG than for Exelon 17 $0 On June 26 th , the U.S. House passed the Waxman-Markey Bill by a vote of 219-212 |
1. Exelon: Sustainable Advantage 2. Exelon-NRG: A Clear Strategic Fit 3. Value for NRG Shareholders 4. Achievable Plan to Execute Deal 5. Action Sought Discussion Points: 18 |
an Offer Represents Significant Value to NRG Shareholders Our original offer provided a 37% premium to NRG's stock price on 10/17/08 When compared to all $1B+ stock deals since 12/2003, that was almost double the 1-day average of 19% NRG has responded with obstruction Refusing to negotiate with Exelon management; excluding us from their market discovery process, that has produced no alternatives Refusing to allow limited two-week due diligence process Intervening with obstructionist tactics in regulatory proceedings Pursuing a frivolous and expensive lawsuit Falsely claiming that the election of Exelons nine nominees could trigger the poison puts in their debt Our new offer to NRG shareholders is even better now
implied premium of 44% Higher exchange ratio = 0.545 Greater growth opportunities than NRG stand-alone, at lower risk and relative cost ~$3.1B transaction value Now is the time for a new, independent and open-minded NRG board to come to the table 19 1. NRGs lawsuit against Exelon in U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York, was
dismissed on June 22, 2009. 1 |
20 The Value of the Offer to NRG Shareholders Has Increased THEN NOW Exchange Ratio Est. NPV of Synergies 0.485 0.545 (12.4% increase) $1.5 $3.0 B $3.6 $4.0 B Exelons best and final offer 20 1. Implied ownership as of 2012 assuming the conversion of $1.1 billion of mandatory
convertibles. Immediate ownership percentage upon deal close is 18.6%. 2.
Includes estimated transaction costs of $654M (pre-tax). 3. Includes estimated transaction costs of $550M (pre-tax). Transaction Value to NRG $2.3 B $3.1 B Implied Ownership 16.8% 18.2% 2 1 3 |
Exelons offer has increased NRGs stock price and decreased Exelons stock price
relative to each companys peer indices Assuming that each companys stand-alone stock price is halfway between the comparable company index and current stock price, the premium offered is still 44% 21 21 Current Stock Price ($50.70) 2 Halfway Between Index and Current ($54.03) Based on Competitive Integrated Index ($57.35) 3 Current Stock Price ($23.80) 2 16% 24% 31% Halfway Between Index and Current ($20.50) 35% 44% 52% Based on IPP Index ($17.21) 4 61% 71% 82% Exelon Stand-Alone Stock Price NRG Stand-Alone Stock Price Indicative Premium 1 The world has changed for IPPs lower gas prices, a weak economy and likely carbon legislation will translate into lower IPP valuations Best Indicators Suggest Current Exelon Offer Represents an Implied Premium of 44% 1. Premium based on 10/17/08 stock prices (last observable stand-alone stock value) is 54% at
current offer. 2. Closing stock prices as of 6/26/09. 3. EXC implied stock price based on the Competitive Integrateds (AYE, ETR, FPL, PPL, PEG, CEG, EIX,
FE) performance from 10/17/08 to 6/26/09. 4. NRG implied stock price based on the IPP Index (MIR, CPN, DYN, RRI) performance from 10/17/08 to
6/26/09. |
Based on These
Indicators, Transaction Provides NRG Shareholders Immediate Value of $3.1 Billion
Share of Synergies $0.6B Plus: EXC Upside - Carbon - Uprates - PECO PPA roll- off 1. Based upon implied premium of 44% from previous slide and assumes 277 million NRG
fully-diluted shares outstanding. 2. Share of synergies reflects 18.2% NRG share of synergies (based upon midpoint of $3.6-$4.0B
synergies), less NRG share of $550 million pre-tax total estimated transaction
costs. Implied Transaction Value to NRG Shareholders of $3.1B Implied Premium to NRG Shareholders of $2.5 B 22 Even at June 26 closing prices, NRG shareholders will realize immediate transaction value of $1.7 billion If Exelons offer is withdrawn, NRG shareholders face downside risk in their share price 1 2 th |
Then Assumed a traditional integrate model Reflected preliminary top-down internal estimate without assistance from 3 parties Notable assumptions included: 40% reduction in NRGs A&G expense 10% reduction in NRGs O&M expense Now Assumes an absorb-integrate-transform model Reflects bottom-up functional estimate with
assistance from Booz & Company Assesses discrete operating areas, updates assumptions and defines desired outcomes Reflects enhanced view of NRGs
operating profile (plant benchmarking) Recognizes impact of Reliant Retail business to NRG (A&G) 23 Upon Detailed Investigation, Exelon Has Identified Greater Synergies Exelon will realize these synergies, just as we have in the past 1. Based on analysis of publicly available information. 2. Primarily reflects severance, systems integration, retention and relocation costs. Est. Annual Cost Savings: $180 - $300 M % of Combined Expenses: ~3%-5% Costs to Achieve : ~$100 M NPV of Est. Synergies: $1,500 - $3,000 M Est. Annual Cost Savings: $410 - $475 M % of Combined Expenses: ~6%-7% Costs to Achieve 2 : ~$200 M NPV of Est. Synergies: $3,600 - $4,000 M rd 1 2 1 |
Synergies
reflect a 30% reduction in NRGs O&M expense, which is consistent with prior power sector transactions and reflects Exelons track record and commitment to delivering strong results additional synergies possible 24 Category Amount ($M) Commentary Key Sources of Synergies Corporate / IT $225 - $245 Includes enhanced corporate synergies from initial case based on detailed assessment and prior transaction experience, minimizing duplicative corporate support Fossil $75 - $85 Based on ~350 employee reduction from Exelon/NRG fleet optimization due to implementation of Exelons management model Trading $65 - $75 Absorption of NRG trade book into existing Exelon Power Team operations EXC Power Team is an experienced, multi-state power marketer, enabling smooth integration and significant labor synergies Development $20 - $30 Significant reduction in redundant staffing, without sacrificing continuing growth and development opportunities Nuclear $10 - $20 Integration of STP 1 & 2 into the largest nuclear fleet in the industry (not assumed until 2011, contingent upon agreement with co-owners) Retail $15 - $20 Reflects assumed NRG synergies (since Reliant acquisition was not incorporated into our initial analysis) Total $410 - $475 |
25 243 170 117 Cost Savings Estimate ($M) $ 100 117% Actual Post Merger Integration Savings ($M) % Realized of Estimate 106% $ 160 $ 180 135% Targeted headcount reduction of ~1,200; actual ~1,600 Disciplined integration planning process Effective use of pre-close period for integration planning purposes to accelerate synergy capture Reduction in overall staffing levels through centralization/leverage of scale Elimination of duplicate corporate and administrative positions Common company-wide management processes Year 2001 2002 2003 $67 $210 $200 2004 $410 2003 $230 $163 Cumulative Cost Savings Estimate ($M) Actual Results (Pre Tax - $M) (O&M + Capital = Total) % Realized of Estimate 100% 129% $163 + $67 = $230 $339 + $188 = $527 O&M Capital Exelon has the experience and management commitment to deliver on its synergy targets Exelon Has a Proven Track Record of Delivering Targeted Synergies Improved capacity factor from 77% in 2004 to 96% in 2006 Reduced average refueling days from 80 in 2004 to 26 in 2006 50 60 70 80 90 100 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 PECO Unicom PSEG Exelon AmerGen PSEG with NOSC |
NRG Touts
Numerous Growth Opportunities, But A Closer Look Reveals Minimal Value New Nuclear (NINA) NRG significantly underestimates both costs and risks Any value estimate is speculative at this point Reliant Purchase appears accretive, but NRGs EBITDA projections are extremely aggressive and suggested EBITDA multiple is unrealistic Net value of ~ $1/share Padoma Wind 150 MW net ownership (0.7% of NRG existing capacity) of new wind in Texas scheduled to come on-line by the end of 2009 Potential net value in the $0.00-0.10/share range eSolar 184 MW net ownership (0.8% of NRG existing capacity) of new solar in Southwest scheduled to come on-line in 2011/2012 Potential net value in the $0.00-0.25/share range GenConn Energy 200 MW net ownership (0.9% of NRG existing capacity) of new peaking in Connecticut scheduled to come on-line in 2010/2011 Estimated net value of ~$0.10/share NRGs only real growth opportunity is the gas and heat rate upside in its existing 23,000
MW domestic fleet Exelon has similar upside plus enormous carbon upside as well 26 1 1 1 1. Upper end of range is based on optimistic net value estimate assuming a 10% profit margin
on capital invested. |
1. Exelon: Sustainable Advantage 2. Exelon-NRG: A Clear Strategic Fit 3. Value for NRG Shareholders 4. Achievable Plan to Execute Deal 5. Action Sought Discussion Points: 27 |
1 2 3 Investment grade metrics We have modeled varying combinations of debt refinancing, asset divestitures, equity
or equity-linked issuance and accelerated debt paydown to maintain our investment grade credit ratings with a view to long-term shareholder value Our optimal financing plan includes: - Divesting assets of ~$1.6 billion - Issuing ~$1.1 billion of mandatory convertible equity or common equity - Deploying cash on hand of ~$1.7 billion - Financing $4.2 billion in the debt capital markets The plan is executable and provides We have incorporated a cost of issuing equity or equity-linked securities into our model as we believe EXCs long-term value is greater than its current stock price The strategic benefits, long-term value and synergies created by the combination
are more valuable than the cost of an equity or equity-linked issuance 28 28 Exelon Has a Financing Plan That Is Executable, Provides Investment Grade Metrics and Creates Long-Term Value I think Exelon has the capability to refinance and close the exchange offer - Jonathan Baliff, NRG Executive Vice President, Strategy 4 1. Based on relative economics of the two securities and market conditions. 2. Estimated excess cash balance at NRG reflects Exelon internal projections as of FYE 2009.
3. Either at or about the time of the transaction or thereafter. 4. Former investment banker at Credit Suisse testifying under oath in Federal Court on June 1,
2009. NRG Energy. Inc. v. Exelon Corp., et al., No. 09 Civ. 2448
(S.D.N.Y.). |
2 We Have A Plan To Meet Our Financing Needs The Plan is Flexible and Executable Exelon has many options to address its financing needs Capital markets Bank financing TopCo structure Asset sales / Equity issuance Bond waivers Excess NRG cash Capital markets remain strong Over $200 billion in bank commitments (over $1 billion) in the last twelve months 7 Over $88 billion in investment grade bond issues (over $1 billion) year to date 7 $130 billion in U.S. equity issuances year to date, of which over $19 billion is convertible equity 0 7 We can finance the transaction at an ~8% interest rate given current market conditions 29 Note: Estimated balances based on internal estimates, reported data in NRGs Form
10-Q as of 3/31/09 and 10-K dated 12/31/08. 1. Synthetic LOCs require drawn bridge loan. 2. Credit Suisse has the option to keep the security outstanding and make fair value
adjustments. 3. Includes estimated fees, net of taxes and other non-recourse obligations. 4. Assumes divestiture of various assets including Big Cajun and other Louisiana Plants. 5. Excludes CS Notes and preferred interest. 6. Either at or about the time of the transaction or thereafter. 7. UBS market data. Summary Financing Needs ($ M) Principal Bank Debt (Includes TLB and Synthetic LOCs) 1 $3,114 Senior Notes due '14, '16, and '17 (in aggregate) 4,700 8.500% Senior Notes due 2019 700 3.625% Preferred Stock 250 Other 3 908 Potential Financing Needs $9,672 Preliminary Financing Plan Estimated Excess NRG Cash and Equivalents (as of FYE '09) $1,700 Equity / Mandatory Convert Issuance 1,100 Asset Sales 4 1,600 Assumption of 2019 Bonds 700 Assumption of Select Non-Recourse Obligations 5 379 Debt Capital Markets Financing 6 4,193 Total Sources $9,672 |
Q2 2009
Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Receive Regulatory Approvals 10/19: Announce Offer Annual NRG and Exelon Special Shareholder Meetings 11/12: Exchange Offer Filed Make Filings and Work to Secure Regulatory Approvals (NRC, DOJ/FTC, PUCT, NYPSC, PAPUC, CPUC) Shareholder Proposal and Proxy Solicitation 8/21: Exchange Offer Expires 2/25: Over 51% of NRG Shares Tendered Regulatory approvals are manageable and we expect the transaction to close in 2009 5/21: FERC Approval Expected Transaction Close Exelon is Committed to the Combination Q4 2008 Q1 2009 30 Discussing regulatory concerns of an NRG/Exelon tie-up, Crane said he did not expect the bidder to have any regulatory problems. David Crane Interview with Peter Semler of Mergermarket, March 10, 2009 |
1 31 Jurisdiction Status FERC Acquisition approved on May 21, 2009 Hart-Scott-Rodino Statutory waiting period expired April 30, 2009 NRC Application under review without further information requests Texas Commission ruled application is sufficient - hearing to be held on October 15, 2009 New York To be decided without evidentiary hearing Pennsylvania Hearings scheduled for July 15-17, 2009 California CPUC accepted application; will be decided without evidentiary hearing Regulatory Approvals Are Advancing As Expected Completed In Process 1. As of June 26, 2009 Note: It is also worth noting that NRGs lawsuit against Exelon in U.S. District Court,
Southern District of New York, was dismissed on June 22, 2009 and will not be an
obstacle to closing. |
1. Exelon: Sustainable Advantage 2. Exelon-NRG: A Clear Strategic Fit 3. Value for NRG Shareholders 4. Achievable Plan to Execute Deal 5. Action Sought Discussion Points: 32 |
Elect each of the four independent candidates nominated to run in opposition to the incumbent directors up for re-election Expand the size of the NRG board to 19 directors Elect each of the five independent candidates to serve on the expanded board NRG Shareholders can secure the best transaction possible by taking the following actions:
This approach will allow NRG shareholders to share in the significant value to be generated from creating the largest, most diversified power company in the U.S. 33 This will not result in Exelons slate constituting a majority of the NRG Board NRGs Board has been entrenched in its steadfast opposition to a transaction with Exelon by: - Supporting an entrenched CEO and Senior Management who have sought to obstruct Exelons attempts to obtain regulatory approvals for the transaction - Consistently ignoring the spoken will of a majority of NRGs shareholders and refusing to negotiate with Exelon or allow due diligence We are committed to this transaction but will continue our efforts only as long as we have shareholder support. The election of only four new directors would raise a significant question about the level of that support Voting For Only Four Directors Will Reduce the Likelihood of a Value-Enhancing
Transaction Its Time to Capture This Value |
34 Exelons Slate of Experienced Independent Nominees Nominees have extensive business and management experience and experience serving on boards of public companies. Slate comprised of a broad range of financial, legal and industry expertise Four independent, highly qualified candidates to replace directors of NRG whose terms expire at the 2009 Annual Meeting Betsy S. Atkins, Ralph E. Faison, Coleman Peterson and Thomas C. Wajnert Five independent, highly qualified candidates to fill the newly created seats upon an approved board expansion John M. Albertine, Marjorie L. Bowen, Donald DeFosset Jr., Richard Koppes and Ralph G. Wellington Exelons proposed slate of directors is highly qualified and independent and will not constitute a majority of the Board |
35 This Transaction Is Unique Substantial synergies - fairly shared Compelling value Catalyst for consolidation The time is now
the parties are NRG and Exelon
the price is fair |
Appendix
36 |
NRG Will
Benefit from Exelons Carbon Upside 37 Assumptions: $10/tonne carbon 50% of requirement in free allowances from government 80% recovery through power prices Yields $4/MWh increase in wholesale power prices ($10*.5*80%) Among the principal beneficiaries of the Waxman bill, therefore, will be utilities with a large proportion of unregulated nuclear generation, such as Exelon, Entergy and Constellation
. Most adversely affected will be RRI Energy (RRI). Allegheny Energy (AYE), NRG Energy (NRG), PNM Resources (PNM), Westar Energy (WR), Ameren (AEE), Great Plains Energy (GXP), Mirant (MIR) and Dynegy (DYN). Hugh Wynne, Bernstein Commodities and Power: What Are the Consequences of the Waxman- Markey Climate Change Bill for the Power Sector? (June 29, 2009) Based on the table to the left, EXC EBITDA estimated to increase 8% (~$600M) in 2012 while NRG loses 2% ($62 M) by 2012 . The negative impact to NRG becomes even more pronounced as allowance grants are phased out, while Exelons benefits continue to grow. |
Exelon has the
liquidity, market access and financial flexibility to manage risk and pursue sizeable
growth initiatives when appropriate Exelons Balance Sheet Can Weather Volatile Commodity Markets Lower interest rates and lower cost of capital Lower cost of equity capital Ability to source capital from multiple markets (e.g. commercial paper) reduces risk of liquidity crunch Investment grade market more likely to be accessible during challenging business cycles Banks in this environment more willing to lend to large, diversified, highly-rated companies Over 20 banks committed to Exelons facilities providing over $7B in aggregate commitments Broad Access to Capital 38 Lower Cost of Capital Lower margin and collateral needs Ability to bid competitively on PPAs and long-term deals since counterparties prefer
investment grade companies Reduced working capital requirements, no prepayments on long-term contracts Financial and Business Flexibility |
Risks Inherent
In A Non-investment Grade Balance Sheet Though currently re-opened, the non-investment grade market has closed on several occasions
in recent memory, while the high-grade market has been consistently accessible
regardless of economic cycles Erratic access to such a critical source of funding would
have significant liquidity implications for non-investment grade issuers like
NRG 39 High Yield Market High Grade Market 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 $160,000 Source: SDC, J.P. Morgan JULI Yield (%) Monthly new issuance volume ($mm) 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 $35,000 JPMorgan Global HY Index Yield to Worst Monthly new issuance volume ($mm) |
40 Exelon Generations full requirements power purchase agreement with PECO Energy expires on December 31, 2010 Recent PJM prices for full requirements products: Procurement Date Delivery Period $/MWh PSE&G (NJ BGS) February 2009 June 1, 2009 - May 31, 2012 $103.72 Residential and Small C&I¹ PPL April 2009 January 1, 2010 - December 31, 2010 $86.74 Residential $87.59 Small C&I Allegheny June 2009 Residential: 17-month and 29-month contracts, both beginning January 1, 2011 Non-residential: 17-month contracts beginning January 1, 2011 $71.64 Residential $75.40 Non-residential PECO June 2009 17-month and 29-month contracts beginning January 1, 2011 $100-102 Residential (approximate) Pennsylvania Procurement Provides Strong Evidence of the Value of Exelons Mid-Atlantic Fleet 2 2 2 2 3 1. Wholesale level pricing (excludes adjustments for taxes and transmission and distribution losses);
includes cost of Network Transmission Service (NTS). 2. Retail level pricing but excluding NTS. Retail price includes cost of Gross Receipts Tax and
adjustment for transmission and distribution (T&D) losses. Retail prices
based on distribution company press releases. 3.
Estimated retail price (i.e., inclusive of Gross Receipts Tax and adjustment
for T&D losses but not NTS) converted from ExGens winning offers using
Residential Retail Generation Rate Conversion Model at PECO Procurement website (http://www.pecoprocurement.com/index.cfm?s=supplierInformation&p=rates).
|
41 RPM Capacity Auctions in PJM The results of the recent RPM capacity auction are not anticipated to reflect a new norm due to an anticipated market response to low clearing prices and rule changes for demand response bidding The RTO clearing price for 2012/2013 was $16.46 MW-day. The clearing price for MAAC and Eastern MAAC resources was $133.37 MW-day and $139.73 MW-day respectively. - Exelon offered 12,200 MWs of capacity in the RTO region; 1,500 MWs in the MAAC region; and 9,600 MWs of capacity in Eastern MAAC region A market response to the low clearing prices in the RTO region is anticipated - Modified resource bidding behavior - Retirement of costly and less efficient generation - Cancellation of new generation projects - Less Cleared Demand Response (DR) The RPM capacity auction prices for 2012/2013 are the result of increased generation supply and demand response resources, decreased load PJM wide, and locational reliability requirements The 2012/2013 capacity auction was the first time in which Interruptible Load Resources (ILR) were required to offer into RPM as a capacity resource - The PJM tariff was interpreted to require existing ILR Resources to bid at $0 On June 8, 2009, PJM and its stakeholders began considering changes that would eliminate offer caps on DR - Tariff changes could result in future auctions that better reflect the true market value of capacity (i.e. the value to end use customers who sell firm power rights)
|
ERCOT Wind:
18 GW of Transmission Approved, Can Sell RECs Nationally Under Federal RES, and Price Depression Will Be Absorbed By Texas Alone Upper Midwest Wind: Dependent on Not-Yet-Approved Multi-State Transmission Buildout and Price Depression Will be Spread Over A Broad Area Mid-Atlantic Wind: Limited Wind Resources, So Will Purchase RECs From Other Areas 42 Federal RES will result in incremental wind build in Texas to support REC purchases in other markets depressing power prices in ERCOT 42 Federal RES Will Reduce Prices More in ERCOT than in Midwest or Mid-Atlantic |
43 Historical projected and actual costs of nuclear construction ($/kW) 1974/75 $1,156 $4,410 1976/77 $1,493 $4,008 $560 $1,170 1966/67 % Over Original Estimate +381% +269% +209% No success with planned equity selldown Insufficient DOE loan guarantee funds to support all identified projects Even with DOE loan guarantee of $4.6B and $3B in loan guarantees from Japan (which we see as aggressive), there is a financing gap of $2.5B - $5B that NRG has not secured No disclosed details on risk mitigation plan for Toshibas first U.S. nuclear construction project No signed PPAs because current market fundamentals do not support pricing needed to cover construction costs Significant Risks Make It Impossible To Ascribe Value At This Early Stage Nuclear new build estimates Overnight $/kW FPL $3,170-$4,630/kW Progress (Levy County) $4,345/kW Brattle Group $4,038/kW Exelon (Victoria County) $4,148/kW U.S. Consensus $4,000-4,500/kW NRG $3,200/kW vs. Sources: NEI Whitepaper The Cost of New Generating Capacity in Perspective February 2009, Brattle Group IRP for Connecticut - January 2008 , NRG 6/4/09 Presentation at Macquarie Global Infrastructure Conference 1. Amounts shown in 2008$, assuming 2% inflation over 2007$ for FPL and Progress. Exelon estimate includes initial fuel load cost. 2. NRG Investor Presentation, June 17, 2009 Overnight Cost Growth (1966-1977) Est: +167% Actual: +243% NRG Underestimates the Risks of Being a First Mover STP 3&4 Is Subject To Project Execution And Cost Escalation Risks That NRG Shareholders Cannot Ignore U.S. Supply chain and labor force must be re-established Japanese modular construction practices have not been applied in the U.S. NRG has not announced completion of construction contract U.S. labor productivity vs. Japanese is unknown Construction proximity to an operating nuclear plant poses significant risk to construction execution, schedule, and cost Owners costs and site development risks are material, despite the brownfield site 2 1 |
Scale and
Complexity of Nuclear New Build Introduces a Unique Set of Challenges for NRG
44 New nuclear build is a high risk proposition for NRG and represents a substantial portion of the companys market cap Even with financing support by the U.S. and Japanese governments, NRG is placing a significant portion of the companys market cap at risk Exelons size and investment grade balance sheet significantly lessens the impact of this mega-project on the companys operating and financial risk profile Total nuclear new build equity financing as a percentage of market capitalization NRG EXC/NRG - +25% +50% +75% +100% +125% +150% $8.9 billion $11.2 billion $13.4 billion $15.7 billion $17.9 billion $20.1 billion $22.4 billion 12% 16% 19% 22% 25% 28% 31% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% $ 4,142 / kW $ 5,178 / kW $ 6,213 / kW $ 7,249 / kW $ 8,284 / kW $ 9,320 / kW $ 10,355 / kW 2 1 1. New build equity financing percentages are presented for various levels of total nominal project
costs per kW, assuming 80% debt funding and market capitalization as of 6/26/09.
The equity financing percentages reflect NINA ownership of STP units 3 and 4 at 40%, and NRG ownership of NINA at 88%. 2. Estimate of the total nominal project cost per kW based on the midpoint of the NRG price range for
the nominal EPC and owners cost from NRGs 6/4/09 presentation at
Macquarie Global Infrastructure Conference, plus estimated interest during construction, initial fuel load costs, guaranteed loan fees and debt service reserve. |
45 NRG Is Overvaluing Reliant Retails Financial Impact Valuation Considerations Even when assuming a $250 million run rate EBITDA for Reliant Retail, the financial impact to NRG is less than $1.00 per share Exelon fully supports the retail business model, and the Reliant acquisition appears value-accretive However, the suggestion that over $1 billion in equity value (or ~$4.50 per share) has been created is an overstatement Valuation of 4-6x EBITDA is not achievable NRG paid 1.9x to 2.6x EBITDA in an auction Public markets have not imputed attractive multiples to retail businesses in the past No allocation of debt in NRGs valuation either in the form of collateral or increased working capital NRG seems to ignore the higher level of risk for retail; implies higher cost of capital Potential Price Per Share Impact ($ M) $250 million run rate EBITDA appears aggressive Gross margins ($670 M) assume steady mass market and Commercial & Industrial margins which have been volatile Aggressive pricing from large competitors (e.g., Centrica, FPL, CEG) will
likely compress margins Requires strong execution across key disciplines (e.g., risk management, customer service) Earnings Considerations Low High NRG Management (as of 3/2/09): 1 Purchase Price $388 $388 (a) Original EBITDA Estimate $200 $150 (b) Implied EV / EBITDA 1.9x 2.6x Revised NRG Estimates (as of 5/27/09): 2 (c) Revised Run-rate EBITDA $250 $250 (d) Change / Implied Synergies (c - a) $50 $100 (e) NRG Purchase Multiple Range (line b) 1.9x - 2.6x 1.9x - 2.6x Implied Value Created (d * e) $95 $130 $190 $260 Est. Price Per Share Impact 3 $0.34 $0.47 $0.69 $0.94 1. NRG Investor presentation - March 2, 2009. 2. NRG Investor presentation - May 27, 2009. 3. Assumes 277 million NRG fully-diluted shares outstanding. |
46 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 $800 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Exelon Estimate Incremental CapEx (High Case) Exelon Estimate Incremental CapEx (Low Case) NRG Form 10-K Disclosure $1.3-$2.3 billion of incremental environmental compliance costs could limit NRGs ability to fund its future growth particularly in light of its leveraged balance sheet and non-investment grade ratings Total NRG Estimate $1.15B Incremental Cap Ex $1.3 $2.3B Total $2.45 $3.45B 46 Under the new administration, we anticipate there will be more stringent environmental rules and
regulations, including NOX and SO2 and particulate reductions under a revised Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR), an aggressive EPA/DOJ New Source Review enforcement initiative These regulations may result in significant compliance costs for NRGs coal-fired generation assets These regulations will have minimal impact on Exelons compliance costs given our nuclear
portfolio 1. In its 3/31/09 Form 10-Q, NRG states that it has prepared an environmental capital expenditure
plan for numerous pending regulations but does not disclose the amount of the planned
expenditures. 2. Forecasted amounts shown above are included in transaction analysis. Environmental Capital Expenditures Could Severely Limit NRGs Future Growth 1 2 |
NRG claims that its hedge program insulates it from the current commodity down-cycle
looking closer: NRG has sold about 2/3 of its baseload energy forward for 2011, but at much lower prices than for 2009 sales As NRGs above-market hedges roll off, we estimate that NRGs baseload energy revenues could decline by ~$700 million based on current market prices between 2009 and 2011 At Current Forward Prices, ~$700 Million in NRG Revenue Deterioration From 2009-2011 Between 2009 and 2011, Exelon Generations estimated gross margin grows by ~$500 million, largely due to the PECO PPA roll-off 47 0 1 2 3 4 2009 2010 2011 $B NRG Baseload Energy Revenues 5% Sold in Short- Term Market 95% Sold Forward at an Average Price of $61/MWh 79% Sold Forward at an Average Price of $58/MWh $700 Million Decline 33% Remaining Sales at an Average Price ~$53/MWh Assuming 5/29/09 Market 67% Sold Forward at an Average Price of $52/MWh 1 2 1. Based on 2/28/09 market conditions, per Exelon Hedging Disclosures (April 2009). 2. Percentages sold and average prices in blue as disclosed in NRGs 2008 Form 10-K.
2010-2011 average prices in green are based on Exelon internal analysis.
Average price represents weighted average of TX, NY and PJM baseload energy sales using market conditions as of 5/29/09. 21% Remaining Sales at an Average Price ~$46/MWh Assuming 5/29/09 Market |
Premium Paid
Analysis All stock transactions with equity values greater than $1.0 billion, announced
since 12/5/2003, U.S. targets (excluding withdrawn deals and spin-offs) Source: SDC, Bloomberg, FactSet Note: Excludes Wells Fargo's acquisition of Wachovia, Bank of America's acquisition of Merrill Lynch, JP
Morgan's acquisition of Bear Stearns and Bank of America's acquisition of
Countrywide. 48 Date Date Equity Value Premium Prior to Announcement (%) Announced Effective Target Acquiror ($mm) 1 Day 1 Week 4 Weeks 04/01/09 Metavante Technologies Inc Fidelity Natl Info Svcs Inc 2,982 23.1 23.5 27.5 03/03/09 Magellan Midstream Hldg LP Magellan Midstream Partners LP 1,148 22.1 23.5 29.8 01/15/09 Terra Industries Inc CF Industries Holdings Inc 3,397 102.9 107.5 109.8 10/19/08 NRG Energy Inc Exelon Corp 6,261 36.7 38.0 31.1 06/23/08 12/05/08 Allied Waste Industries Inc Republic Services Inc 6,098 0.9 3.5 5.0 04/24/08 09/29/08 Wendy's International Inc Triarc Cos Inc 2,346 11.1 16.0 23.2 04/14/08 10/29/08 Northwest Airlines Corp Delta Air Lines Inc 2,918 14.1 14.9 20.2 05/04/07 10/01/07 Greater Bay Bancorp,Palo Alto Wells Fargo,San Francisco,CA 1,657 7.5 13.8 16.3 05/01/07 09/04/07 MAF Bancorp,Clarendon Hills,IL Natl City Corp,Cleveland,Ohio 1,973 39.5 39.9 38.1 03/18/07 08/30/07 InfraSource Services Inc Quanta Services Inc 1,253 17.4 18.1 16.0 02/05/07 08/20/07 Hanover Compressor Co Universal Compression Holdings 2,077 2.4 1.7 4.1 02/05/07 07/02/07 Investors Financial Svcs Corp State Street Corp 4,505 38.5 38.5 42.4 02/02/07 03/07/07 Weyerhaeuser Co Weyerhaeuser Shareholders/Domtar 2,939 0.0 0.0 0.0 12/04/06 04/02/07 Agere Systems Inc LSI Logic Corp 3,795 28.2 30.4 26.5 12/03/06 07/02/07 Mellon Financial,Pittsburgh,PA Bank of New York Co Inc,NY 16,371 (6.1) (6.2) (5.3) 10/17/06 07/12/07 CBOT Holdings Inc Chicago Mercantile Exchange 11,025 55.3 59.8 59.4 08/31/06 11/04/06 Glamis Gold Ltd Goldcorp Inc 6,829 32.4 32.4 35.4 07/10/06 12/01/06 Harbor Florida Bancshares Inc Natl City Corp,Cleveland,Ohio 1,110 21.6 21.6 21.6 07/06/06 02/21/07 Peoples Energy Corp WPS Resources Corp 1,588 15.0 13.6 11.6 06/12/06 11/15/06 Pacific Energy Partners LP Plains All American Pipeline 1,395 10.6 12.2 14.3 05/25/06 11/04/06 AmSouth Bancorp,Alabama Regions Finl Corp 10,035 (2.0) (0.0) 0.3 05/08/06 11/09/06 Fisher Scientific Intl Inc Thermo Electron Corp 10,280 7.0 8.2 7.4 01/24/06 05/05/06 Pixar Inc Walt Disney Co 7,555 2.5 4.5 4.9 12/20/05 05/22/06 Maxtor Corp Seagate Technology Inc 1,879 59.8 58.2 62.3 09/12/05 03/01/06 WFS Financial Inc Wachovia Corp,Charlotte,NC 3,035 13.8 12.6 15.3 09/12/05 03/01/06 Westcorp,Irvine,CA Wachovia Corp,Charlotte,NC 3,419 4.7 3.8 6.3 05/09/05 04/03/06 Cinergy Corp Duke Energy Corp 8,655 13.4 13.9 12.6 |
Premium Paid
Analysis All stock transactions with equity values greater than $1.0 billion, announced
since 12/5/2003, U.S. targets (excluding withdrawn deals and spin-offs) Source: SDC, Bloomberg, FactSet Note: Excludes Wells Fargo's acquisition of Wachovia, Bank of America's acquisition of Merrill Lynch, JP
Morgan's acquisition of Bear Stearns and Bank of America's acquisition of
Countrywide. Exelons offer at 10/17/08 represented a: 1 day premium of 37% Premium to 1-week average exchange ratio of 38% Premium to 4-week average exchange ratio of 31% 49 Date Date Equity Value Premium Prior to Announcement (%) Announced Effective Target Acquiror ($mm) 1 Day 1 Week 4 Weeks 05/04/05 08/08/05 SpectraSite Inc American Tower Corp 3,153 9.5 9.6 9.1 04/18/05 12/03/05 Macromedia Inc Adobe Systems Inc 3,588 25.1 26.0 33.4 03/21/05 07/19/05 Ask Jeeves Inc IAC/InterActiveCorp 1,952 16.5 16.3 21.5 03/09/05 07/01/05 Great Lakes Chemical Corp Crompton Corp 1,552 10.1 10.4 11.0 03/03/05 05/16/05 Siliconix Inc Vishay Intertechnology Inc 1,003 16.2 18.6 14.7 01/31/05 11/18/05 AT&T Corp SBC Communications Inc 14,732 (6.6) (0.7) 3.3 01/28/05 10/01/05 Gillette Co Procter & Gamble Co 54,907 17.6 20.6 21.7 01/10/05 03/21/05 Fox Entertainment Group Inc News Corp 34,466 9.8 12.9 14.1 12/16/04 07/02/05 Veritas Software Corp Symantec Corp 13,520 9.5 28.6 47.0 08/12/04 03/11/05 Varco International Inc National-Oilwell Inc 2,551 9.2 9.6 13.4 08/02/04 01/01/05 First National Bankshares FL Fifth Third Bancorp,OH 1,253 40.5 43.4 45.2 06/21/04 11/01/04 SouthTrust Corp,Birmingham,AL Wachovia Corp,Charlotte,NC 14,157 20.2 21.5 24.1 04/07/04 06/25/04 Westport Resources Corp Kerr-McGee Corp 2,600 10.7 10.2 9.6 03/29/04 08/13/04 Tularik Inc Amgen Inc 1,796 47.1 48.5 45.7 03/17/04 08/02/04 Apogent Technologies Inc Fisher Scientific Intl Inc 2,691 5.5 6.4 7.5 02/26/04 12/21/04 ILEX Oncology Inc Genzyme Corp 1,051 25.0 22.6 19.9 02/17/04 07/01/04 Provident Financial Group Inc Natl City Corp,Cleveland,Ohio 2,094 15.3 15.6 15.7 02/16/04 10/01/04 GreenPoint Financial Corp,NY North Fork Bancorp,Melville,NY 6,203 14.1 15.1 19.3 02/06/04 04/16/04 NetScreen Technologies Inc Juniper Networks Inc 4,175 59.0 59.5 43.8 01/23/04 07/01/04 Union Planters Corp,Memphis,TN Regions Financial Corp 5,857 (2.5) (3.5) (3.1) 01/14/04 07/01/04 Bank One Corp,Chicago,IL JPMorgan Chase & Co 58,847 15.1 14.3 8.2 12/15/03 09/30/04 Gulfterra Energy Partners LP Enterprise Products Partners 2,551 2.2 4.1 3.4 Mean 7,372 19.2 20.7 21.7 Median 3,035 14.1 15.1 16.0 High 58,847 102.9 107.5 109.8 Low 1,003 (6.6) (6.2) (5.3) |