Arch Capital Group Ltd. Reports 2007 Third Quarter Results

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: ACGL) reports that net income available to common shareholders for the 2007 third quarter was $199.7 million, or $2.76 per share, compared to $185.8 million, or $2.44 per share, for the 2006 third quarter, and $597.7 million, or $8.00 per share, for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to $453.3 million, or $5.96 per share, for the 2006 period. The Company also reported after-tax operating income available to common shareholders of $209.3 million, or $2.89 per share, for the 2007 third quarter, compared to $200.1 million, or $2.62 per share, for the 2006 third quarter, and $625.7 million, or $8.37 per share, for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to $514.2 million, or $6.76 per share, for the 2006 period. The Companys after-tax operating income available to common shareholders represented a 24.2% annualized return on average common equity for the 2007 third quarter, compared to 28.0% for the 2006 third quarter, and 24.5% for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to 24.9% for the 2006 period. After-tax operating income available to common shareholders, a non-GAAP measure, is defined as net income available to common shareholders, excluding net realized gains or losses and net foreign exchange gains or losses, net of income taxes. See page 6 for a further discussion of after-tax operating income available to common shareholders and Regulation G.

The Companys book value per common share, including the effects of share repurchases, increased to $51.34 at September 30, 2007 from $43.97 per share at December 31, 2006. Gross and net premiums written for the 2007 third quarter were $999.2 million and $694.6 million, respectively, compared to $1.11 billion and $747.2 million, respectively, for the 2006 third quarter, and $3.31 billion and $2.32 billion, respectively, for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to $3.41 billion and $2.42 billion, respectively, for the 2006 period. The Companys combined ratio was 84.8% for the 2007 third quarter, compared to 84.3% for the 2006 third quarter, and 84.1% for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to 86.3% for the 2006 period. All per share amounts discussed in this release are on a diluted basis.

The following table summarizes the Companys underwriting results:

(Unaudited)(Unaudited)
Three Months EndedNine Months Ended
September 30,September 30,
(U.S. dollars in thousands) 2007200620072006
Gross premiums written $ 999,159 $ 1,105,165 $ 3,311,983 $ 3,409,253
Net premiums written 694,630 747,225 2,324,270 2,415,502
Net premiums earned 735,529 757,573 2,232,434 2,316,624
Underwriting income 112,319 120,228 357,212 322,670
Combined ratio 84.8 % 84.3 % 84.1 % 86.3 %

The following table summarizes, on an after-tax basis, the Companys consolidated financial data, including a reconciliation of after-tax operating income available to common shareholders to net income available to common shareholders and related diluted per share results:

(Unaudited)(Unaudited)
Three Months EndedNine Months Ended
September 30,September 30,
(U.S. dollars in thousands, except per share data) 2007200620072006
After-tax operating income available to common shareholders $ 209,299 $ 200,069 $ 625,673 $ 514,186
Net realized gains (losses), net of tax 13,879 (10,371 ) 11,874 (44,741 )
Net foreign exchange losses, net of tax (23,433 ) (3,888 ) (39,857 ) (16,164 )
Net income available to common shareholders $ 199,745 $ 185,810 $ 597,690 $ 453,281
Diluted per common share results:
After-tax operating income available to common shareholders $ 2.89 $ 2.62 $ 8.37 $ 6.76
Net realized gains (losses), net of tax 0.19 (0.13 ) 0.16 (0.59 )
Net foreign exchange losses, net of tax (0.32 ) (0.05 ) (0.53 ) (0.21 )
Net income available to common shareholders $ 2.76 $ 2.44 $ 8.00 $ 5.96
Weighted average common shares and common share equivalents outstanding diluted 72,378,940 76,283,910 74,734,343 76,108,510

The combined ratio represents a measure of underwriting profitability, excluding investment income, and is the sum of the loss ratio and expense ratio. A combined ratio under 100% represents an underwriting profit and a combined ratio over 100% represents an underwriting loss. The combined ratio of the Companys insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries consisted of a loss ratio of 54.7% and an underwriting expense ratio of 30.1% for the 2007 third quarter, compared to a loss ratio of 58.8% and an underwriting expense ratio of 25.5% for the 2006 third quarter. The combined ratio of the Companys insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries consisted of a loss ratio of 55.9% and an underwriting expense ratio of 28.2% for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to a loss ratio of 59.4% and an underwriting expense ratio of 26.9% for the 2006 period. The loss ratio of 54.7% for the 2007 third quarter was comprised of 40.8 points of paid losses, 11.2 points related to reserves for reported losses and 2.7 points related to incurred but not reported reserves.

In establishing the reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses, the Company has made various assumptions relating to the pricing of its reinsurance contracts and insurance policies and also has considered available historical industry experience and current industry conditions. The Companys reserving method to date has been, to a large extent, the expected loss method, which is commonly applied when limited loss experience exists. Any estimates and assumptions made as part of the reserving process could prove to be inaccurate due to several factors, including the fact that limited historical information has been reported to the Company through September 30, 2007.

For a discussion of underwriting activities and a review of the Companys results by operating segment, see Segment Information in the Supplemental Financial Information section of this release.

Consolidated cash flow provided by operating activities for the 2007 third quarter was $426.6 million, compared to $426.8 million for the 2006 third quarter, and $1.1 billion for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to $1.25 billion for the 2006 period. The lower level of operating cash flows for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 primarily resulted from an increase in paid losses as the Companys insurance and reinsurance loss reserves have continued to mature.

Net investment income was $113.2 million for the 2007 third quarter (which included a $4.6 million reduction in the carrying value of certain fixed income investments accounted for using the equity method as discussed below), compared to $101.6 million for the 2006 third quarter, and $343.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 (which included a $3.4 million increase in the carrying value of such investments), compared to $272.5 million for the 2006 period. The increase in net investment income in the 2007 periods primarily resulted from a higher level of average invested assets. The Companys investment portfolio, which mainly consists of high quality fixed income securities, had an average Standard & Poors quality rating of AA+ at September 30, 2007, compared to AAA at December 31, 2006. The average effective duration of the Companys investment portfolio was 3.25 years at September 30, 2007, compared to 3.23 years at December 31, 2006.

The Companys investment portfolio includes certain funds that invest in fixed income securities which, due to their ownership structure, are accounted for by the Company using the equity method. In applying the equity method, these investments are initially recorded at cost and are subsequently adjusted based on the Company's proportionate share of the net income or loss of the funds (which include changes in the market value of the underlying fixed income securities in the funds). Changes in the carrying value of such investments, which are primarily included in other investments on the Companys balance sheet, are recorded in net investment income rather than as an unrealized gain or loss component of accumulated other comprehensive income in shareholders equity as are changes in the carrying value of the Companys other fixed income investments.

The Companys investment portfolio generated a pre-tax investment income yield of 4.73% for the 2007 third quarter, compared to 4.78% for the 2006 third quarter, and 4.88% for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to 4.57% for the 2006 period. The adjustments to the carrying value of the investments accounted for using the equity method described above reduced the reported pre-tax investment income yield by 0.19% for the 2007 third quarter and increased the reported pre-tax investment yield by 0.05% for the nine months ended September 30, 2007.

For the 2007 third quarter, the effective tax rates on income before income taxes and pre-tax operating income were 1.0% and 0.9%, respectively, compared to 1.2% and 1.7%, respectively, for the 2006 third quarter. For the nine months ended September 30, 2007, the effective tax rates on income before income taxes and pre-tax operating income were 2.6% and 2.9%, respectively, compared to 5.7% and 5.3%, respectively, for the 2006 period. The Companys effective tax rates may fluctuate from period to period based on the relative mix of income reported by jurisdiction primarily due to the varying tax rates in each jurisdiction. The Companys quarterly tax provision is adjusted to reflect changes in its expected annual effective tax rates, if any.

A significant portion of the Companys catastrophe-exposed property business is written by a Bermuda-based subsidiary. As a result, on a relative basis, the Companys effective tax rate is likely to be favorably affected in periods that have a low level of catastrophic losses incurred and adversely impacted in periods with significant catastrophic claims activity. The Company reduced its estimated annual effective tax rate on pre-tax operating income during the 2007 third quarter, primarily due to the low level of catastrophic losses incurred in the period. The impact of applying the lower effective tax rate on pre-tax operating income for the six months ended June 30, 2007 increased the Companys after-tax results for the 2007 third quarter by $4.5 million, or $0.06 per share. The Company currently expects that its annual effective tax rate on pre-tax operating income available to common shareholders for the year ended December 31, 2007 will be in the range of 2.0% to 3.0%. In addition, the Companys Bermuda-based reinsurer incurs federal excise taxes for premiums assumed on U.S. risks. Such expenses are included in the Companys acquisition expenses.

Net foreign exchange losses for the 2007 third quarter of $23.7 million consisted of net unrealized losses of $22.5 million and net realized losses of $1.2 million, compared to net foreign exchange losses for the 2006 third quarter of $4.3 million, which consisted of net unrealized losses of $10.9 million and net realized gains of $6.6 million. Net foreign exchange losses for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 of $39.8 million consisted of net unrealized losses of $45.6 million and net realized gains of $5.8 million, compared to net foreign exchange losses for the 2006 period of $15.7 million, which consisted of net unrealized losses of $18.9 million and net realized gains of $3.2 million. Net unrealized foreign exchange gains or losses result from the effects of revaluing the Companys net insurance liabilities required to be settled in foreign currencies at each balance sheet date. The net foreign exchange losses for the 2007 periods resulted from a weakening of the U.S. Dollar. The Company holds investments in foreign currencies which are intended to mitigate its exposure to foreign currency fluctuations in its net insurance liabilities. However, changes in the value of such investments due to foreign currency rate movements are reflected as a direct increase or decrease to shareholders equity and are not included in the statement of income.

Diluted weighted average common shares and common share equivalents outstanding, used in the calculation of after-tax operating income and net income per common share, were 72.4 million in the 2007 third quarter, compared to 76.3 million in the 2006 third quarter, and 74.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to 76.1 million in the 2006 period. The lower level of weighted average shares outstanding in the 2007 periods was primarily due to the weighted average impact of share repurchases as discussed below, partially offset by increases in the dilutive effects of stock options and nonvested restricted stock calculated using the treasury stock method and the exercise of stock options. Under the treasury stock method, the dilutive impact of options and nonvested stock on diluted weighted average shares outstanding increases as the market price of the Companys common shares increases.

On February 28, 2007, ACGLs Board of Directors authorized the investment of up to $1 billion in ACGLs common shares through a share repurchase program. Repurchases under the program may be effected from time to time in open market or privately negotiated transactions through February 2009. During the 2007 third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2007, ACGL repurchased approximately 2.2 million and 5.8 million common shares, respectively, under the share repurchase program for an aggregate purchase price of $145.7 million and $400.7 million, respectively. As a result of the share repurchase transactions, book value per common share was reduced by $1.37 per share at September 30, 2007 and weighted average shares outstanding for the 2007 third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2007 were reduced by 4.9 million and 2.3 million shares, respectively. The timing and amount of the repurchase transactions under this program will depend on a variety of factors, including market conditions and corporate and regulatory considerations.

At September 30, 2007, the Companys capital of $4.17 billion consisted of $300.0 million of senior notes, representing 7.2% of the total, $325.0 million of preferred shares, representing 7.8% of the total, and common shareholders equity of $3.55 billion, representing the balance. The increase in the Companys capital during 2007 of $284.2 million was primarily attributable to operating income for 2007 and an after-tax increase in the fair value of the Companys investment portfolio, partially offset by $400.7 million of share repurchases during the period. The increase in the fair value of the Companys investment portfolio primarily resulted from changes in the level of interest and foreign exchange rates in the 2007 third quarter.

The Company will hold a conference call for investors and analysts at 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time on Friday, October 26, 2007. A live webcast of this call will be available via the Media-Earnings Webcasts section of the Company's website at http://www.archcapgroup.bm and will be archived on the website from 1:00 p.m. Eastern Time on October 26 through midnight Eastern Time on November 26, 2007. A telephone replay of the conference call also will be available beginning on October 26 at 1:00 p.m. Eastern Time until November 2 at midnight Eastern Time. To access the replay, domestic callers should dial 888-286-8010 (passcode 31251662), and international callers should dial 617-801-6888 (passcode 31251662).

Arch Capital Group Ltd., a Bermuda-based company with approximately $4.2 billion in capital at September 30, 2007, provides insurance and reinsurance on a worldwide basis through its wholly owned subsidiaries.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a safe harbor for forward-looking statements. This release or any other written or oral statements made by or on behalf of the Company may include forward-looking statements, which reflect the Companys current views with respect to future events and financial performance. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in this release are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements can generally be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as may,will, expect,intend, estimate,anticipate, believe or continue or their negative or variations or similar terminology.

Forward-looking statements involve the Companys current assessment of risks and uncertainties. Actual events and results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Important factors that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those indicated in such statements are discussed below and elsewhere in this release and in the Companys periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC), and include:

  • the Companys ability to successfully implement its business strategy during soft as well as hard markets;
  • acceptance of the Companys business strategy, security and financial condition by rating agencies and regulators, as well as by brokers and its insureds and reinsureds;
  • the Companys ability to maintain or improve its ratings, which may be affected by its ability to raise additional equity or debt financings, by ratings agencies existing or new policies and practices, as well as other factors described herein;
  • general economic and market conditions (including inflation, interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates) and conditions specific to the reinsurance and insurance markets in which the Company operates;
  • competition, including increased competition, on the basis of pricing, capacity, coverage terms or other factors;
  • the Companys ability to successfully integrate, establish and maintain operating procedures (including the implementation of improved computerized systems and programs to replace and support manual systems) to effectively support its underwriting initiatives and to develop accurate actuarial data, especially in light of the rapid growth of its business;
  • the loss of key personnel;
  • the integration of businesses the Company has acquired or may acquire into its existing operations;
  • accuracy of those estimates and judgments utilized in the preparation of the Companys financial statements, including those related to revenue recognition, insurance and other reserves, reinsurance recoverables, investment valuations, intangible assets, bad debts, income taxes, contingencies and litigation, and any determination to use the deposit method of accounting, which for a relatively new insurance and reinsurance company, like the Company, are even more difficult to make than those made in a mature company since limited historical information has been reported to the Company through September 30, 2007;
  • greater than expected loss ratios on business written by the Company and adverse development on claim and/or claim expense liabilities related to business written by its insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries;
  • severity and/or frequency of losses;
  • claims for natural or man-made catastrophic events in the Companys insurance or reinsurance business could cause large losses and substantial volatility in its results of operations;
  • acts of terrorism, political unrest and other hostilities or other unforecasted and unpredictable events;
  • losses relating to aviation business and business produced by a certain managing underwriting agency for which the Company may be liable to the purchaser of its prior reinsurance business or to others in connection with the May 5, 2000 asset sale described in the Companys periodic reports filed with the SEC;
  • availability to the Company of reinsurance to manage its gross and net exposures and the cost of such reinsurance;
  • the failure of reinsurers, managing general agents, third party administrators or others to meet their obligations to the Company;
  • the timing of loss payments being faster or the receipt of reinsurance recoverables being slower than anticipated by the Company;
  • material differences between actual and expected assessments for guaranty funds and mandatory pooling arrangements;
  • changes in accounting principles or policies or in the Companys application of such accounting principles or policies; and
  • statutory or regulatory developments, including as to tax policy and matters and insurance and other regulatory matters such as the adoption of proposed legislation that would affect Bermuda-headquartered companies and/or Bermuda-based insurers or reinsurers and/or changes in regulations or tax laws applicable to the Company, its subsidiaries, brokers or customers.

In addition, other general factors could affect the Companys results, including developments in the worlds financial and capital markets and its access to such markets.

All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. The foregoing review of important factors should not be construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with other cautionary statements that are included herein or elsewhere. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Comment on Regulation G

Throughout this release, the Company presents its operations in the way it believes will be the most meaningful and useful to investors, analysts, rating agencies and others who use the Companys financial information in evaluating the performance of the Company. This presentation includes the use of after-tax operating income available to common shareholders, which is defined as net income available to common shareholders, excluding net realized gains or losses and net foreign exchange gains or losses, net of income taxes. The presentation of after-tax operating income available to common shareholders is a non-GAAP financial measure as defined in Regulation G. The reconciliation of such measure to net income available to common shareholders (the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure) in accordance with Regulation G is included on page 2 of this release.

The Company believes that net realized gains or losses and net foreign exchange gains or losses in any particular period are not indicative of the performance of, or trends in, the Companys business performance. Although net realized gains or losses and net foreign exchange gains or losses are an integral part of the Companys operations, the decision to realize investment gains or losses and the recognition of foreign exchange gains or losses are independent of the insurance underwriting process and result, in large part, from general economic and financial market conditions. Furthermore, certain users of the Companys financial information believe that, for many companies, the timing of the realization of investment gains or losses is largely opportunistic, and, under applicable GAAP accounting, losses on the Companys investments can be realized as the result of other-than-temporary declines in value without actual realization. Due to these reasons, the Company excludes net realized gains or losses and net foreign exchange gains or losses from the calculation of after-tax operating income available to common shareholders.

The Company believes that showing net income available to common shareholders exclusive of the items referred to above reflects the underlying fundamentals of the Companys business since the Company evaluates the performance of and manages its business to produce an underwriting profit. In addition to presenting net income available to common shareholders, the Company believes that this presentation enables investors and other users of the Companys financial information to analyze the Companys performance in a manner similar to how the Companys management analyzes performance. The Company also believes that this measure follows industry practice and, therefore, allows the users of the Companys financial information to compare the Companys performance with its industry peer group. The Company believes that the equity analysts and certain rating agencies which follow the Company and the insurance industry as a whole generally exclude these items from their analyses for the same reasons.

ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUPPLEMENTAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION

Selected Information on Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

(Unaudited)(Unaudited)
Three Months EndedNine Months Ended
September 30,September 30,
(U.S. dollars in thousands) 2007200620072006
Components of losses and loss adjustment expenses
Paid losses and loss adjustment expenses $ 300,143 $ 244,903 $ 833,016 $ 726,132
Increase in unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses 102,552 200,845 415,403 650,049
Total losses and loss adjustment expenses $ 402,695 $ 445,748 $ 1,248,419 $ 1,376,181
Estimated net (favorable) adverse development in prior year loss reserves, net of related adjustments
Impact on losses and loss adjustment expenses:
Insurance ($8,192 ) $ 4,891 ($5,839 ) ($1,992 )
Reinsurance (54,829 ) (27,784 ) (140,166 ) (27,783 )
Total ($63,021 ) ($22,893 ) ($146,005 ) ($29,775 )
Impact on acquisition expenses, net:
Insurance $ 696 $ 5,191
Reinsurance 12,661 ($1,527 ) 15,695 ($6,355 )
Total $ 13,357 ($1,527 ) $ 20,886 ($6,355 )
Net impact on underwriting results:
Insurance ($7,496 ) $ 4,891 ($648 ) ($1,992 )
Reinsurance (42,168 ) (29,311 ) (124,471 ) (34,138 )
Total ($49,664 ) ($24,420 ) ($125,119 ) ($36,130 )
Impact on loss ratio:
Insurance (1.9 %) 1.2 % (0.5 %) (0.2 %)
Reinsurance (17.9 %) (8.3 %) (14.6 %) (2.5 %)
Total (8.6 %) (3.0 %) (6.5 %) (1.3 %)
Impact on acquisition expense ratio:
Insurance 0.2 % 0.4 %
Reinsurance 4.1 % (0.5 %) 1.6 % (0.5 %)
Total 1.8 % (0.2 %) 0.9 % (0.3 %)
Impact on combined ratio:
Insurance (1.7 %) 1.2 % (0.1 %) (0.2 %)
Reinsurance (13.8 %) (8.8 %) (13.0 %) (3.0 %)
Total (6.8 %) (3.2 %) (5.6 %) (1.6 %)
Estimated net losses incurred from current period catastrophic events (1)
Insurance
Reinsurance $ 19,911 $ 8,992 $ 47,769 $ 36,620
Total $ 19,911 $ 8,992 $ 47,769 $ 36,620
Impact on loss ratio:
Insurance
Reinsurance 6.5 % 2.7 % 5.0 % 3.3 %
Total 2.7 % 1.2 % 2.1 % 1.6 %

(1)  Equals estimated losses from catastrophic events occurring in the current accident year, net of reinsurance and reinstatement premiums. Amounts shown for the insurance segment are for named catastrophic events only. Amounts shown for the reinsurance segment include (i) named events with over $5 million of losses incurred by its Bermuda operations and (ii) all catastrophe losses incurred by its U.S. operations.

Annualized Operating Return on Average Common Equity

(Unaudited)(Unaudited)
Three Months EndedNine Months Ended
September 30,September 30,
(U.S. dollars in thousands) 2007200620072006
After-tax operating income available to common shareholders $ 209,299 $ 200,069 $ 625,673 $ 514,186
Annualized after-tax operating income available to
common shareholders
837,196 800,276 834,231 685,581
Beginning common shareholders equity 3,379,067 2,690,780 3,265,619 2,480,527
Ending common shareholders equity 3,549,795 3,021,249 3,549,795 3,021,249
Average common shareholders equity 3,464,431 2,856,015 3,407,707 2,750,888
Annualized operating return on average common equity 24.2 % 28.0 % 24.5 % 24.9 %

Book Value Per Common Share and Share Repurchases

(U.S. dollars in thousands, except share data)

(Unaudited) September 30,

December 31,

20072006
Calculation of book value per common share:
Total shareholders equity $ 3,874,795 $ 3,590,619
Less preferred shareholders equity (325,000 ) (325,000 )
Common shareholders equity 3,549,795 3,265,619
Common shares outstanding (1) 69,141,795 74,270,466
Book value per common share $ 51.34 $ 43.97
Effect of share repurchases during year-to-date period:
Aggregate market price of shares repurchased $ 400,705
Shares repurchased 5,812,443
Average market price per share repurchased $ 68.94
Estimated dilutive impact on ending book value per common share (2) ($1.37 )

(1)  Excludes the effects of 5,598,114 and 5,669,994 stock options and 117,287 and 91,514 restricted stock units outstanding at September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006, respectively.

(2)  As the average price per share repurchased during the period exceeded the book value per common share at September 30, 2007, the repurchase of shares during the period reduced book value per common share.

ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUPPLEMENTAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION

Investment Information

(Unaudited)(Unaudited)
Three Months EndedNine Months Ended
September 30,September 30,
(U.S. dollars in thousands) 2007200620072006
Net investment income:
Before equity method adjustments to market value $ 117,807 $ 101,622 $ 339,815 $ 272,451
Investments accounted for using the equity method (1) (4,626 ) 3,354
As reported $ 113,181 $ 101,622 $ 343,169 $ 272,451
Contribution to pre-tax investment income yield (at amortized cost):
Before equity method adjustments to market value 4.92 % 4.78 % 4.83 % 4.57 %
Investments accounted for using the equity method (1) (0.19 %) 0.05 %
As reported 4.73 % 4.78 % 4.88 % 4.57 %
After-tax investment income yield (at amortized cost) 4.56 % 4.61 % 4.72 % 4.40 %
Cash flow from operations $ 426,583 $ 426,832 $ 1,103,586 $ 1,249,986
(Unaudited)
September 30,December 31,
20072006
Investable assets:
Total cash and investments (2) $ 10,290,478 $ 9,319,148
Securities transactions entered into but not settled at the balance sheet date (432,835 ) (227,941 )
Investable assets $ 9,857,643 $ 9,091,207
Fixed income portfolio (2):
Average effective duration (in years) 3.25 3.23
Average credit quality (Standard & Poors) AA+ AAA
Imbedded book yield (3) 5.11 % 4.97 %

(1) The Companys investment portfolio includes certain funds that invest in fixed income securities which, due to their ownership structure, are accounted for by the Company using the equity method. The equity method adjustments to market value equal the changes in net asset values of such investments which are included in net investment income (rather than as in the unrealized gain or loss component of accumulated other comprehensive income in shareholders equity as are changes in the carrying value of the Companys other fixed income investments).

(2) Includes fixed maturities pledged under securities lending agreements and excludes short-term investment of funds received under securities lending agreements.

(3) Before investment expenses.

ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
(U.S. dollars in thousands, except share data)
(Unaudited)(Unaudited)
Three Months EndedNine Months Ended
September 30,September 30,
2007200620072006
Revenues
Net premiums written $ 694,630 $ 747,225 $ 2,324,270 $ 2,415,502
Decrease (increase) in unearned premiums 40,899 10,348 (91,836 ) (98,878 )
Net premiums earned 735,529 757,573 2,232,434 2,316,624
Net investment income 113,181 101,622 343,169 272,451
Net realized gains (losses) 14,147 (11,115 ) 9,409 (46,700 )
Fee income 1,610 2,269 5,670 7,542
Other income 2,696 3,565
Total revenues 867,163 850,349 2,594,247 2,549,917
Expenses
Losses and loss adjustment expenses 402,695 445,748 1,248,419 1,376,181
Acquisition expenses 131,424 117,529 368,829 395,782
Other operating expenses 95,545 82,791 286,863 250,135
Interest expense 5,524 5,361 16,570 16,567
Net foreign exchange losses 23,656 4,251 39,848 15,650
Total expenses 658,844 655,680 1,960,529 2,054,315
Income before income taxes 208,319 194,669 633,718 495,602
Income tax expense 2,113 2,371 16,645 28,127
Net income 206,206 192,298 617,073 467,475
Preferred dividends 6,461 6,488 19,383 14,194
Net income available to common shareholders $ 199,745 $ 185,810 $ 597,690 $ 453,281
Net income per common share
Basic $ 2.87 $ 2.54 $ 8.30 $ 6.20
Diluted $ 2.76 $ 2.44 $ 8.00 $ 5.96
Weighted average common shares and common share equivalents outstanding
Basic 69,561,789 73,244,138 71,980,194 73,111,759
Diluted 72,378,940 76,283,910 74,734,343 76,108,510

ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(U.S. dollars in thousands, except share data)
(Unaudited)
September 30,December 31,
20072006
Assets
Investments and cash:
Fixed maturities available for sale, at fair value (amortized cost: 2007, $7,304,883; 2006, $6,858,970) $ 7,342,238 $ 6,876,548
Short-term investments available for sale, at fair value (amortized cost: 2007, $1,305,419; 2006, $956,926) 1,315,903 957,698
Short-term investment of funds received under securities lending agreements, at fair value 920,306 891,376
Other investments (cost: 2007, $461,419; 2006, $282,923) 497,158 307,082
Cash 250,804 317,017
Total investments and cash 10,326,409 9,349,721
Accrued investment income 70,697 68,440
Fixed maturities and short-term investments pledged under securities lending agreements, at fair value 884,375 860,803
Premiums receivable 902,987 749,961
Funds held by reinsureds 76,302 82,385
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable 1,581,909 1,552,157
Paid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable 132,039 122,149
Prepaid reinsurance premiums 541,529 470,138
Deferred income tax assets, net 64,474 63,606
Deferred acquisition costs, net 301,974 290,999
Receivable for securities sold 82,383 190,168
Other assets 498,924 511,940
Total Assets $ 15,464,002 $ 14,312,467
Liabilities
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses $ 6,949,449 $ 6,463,041
Unearned premiums 1,960,228 1,791,922
Reinsurance balances payable 336,134 301,679
Senior notes 300,000 300,000
Deposit accounting liabilities 43,681 45,107
Securities lending collateral 920,306 891,376
Payable for securities purchased 515,218 418,109
Other liabilities 564,191 510,614
Total Liabilities 11,589,207 10,721,848
Commitments and Contingencies
Shareholders Equity
Non-cumulative preferred shares ($0.01 par value, 50,000,000 shares authorized)
- Series A (issued: 2007 and 2006, 8,000,000) 80 80
- Series B (issued: 2007 and 2006, 5,000,000) 50 50

Common shares ($0.01 par value, 200,000,000 shares authorized, issued: 2007, 69,141,795; 2006, 74,270,466)

691 743
Additional paid-in capital 1,577,284 1,944,304
Retained earnings 2,193,708 1,596,018
Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of deferred income tax 102,982 49,424
Total Shareholders Equity 3,874,795 3,590,619
Total Liabilities and Shareholders Equity $ 15,464,002 $ 14,312,467
ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY
(U.S. dollars in thousands)
(Unaudited)
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
20072006
Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares
Balance at beginning of period $ 130 $
Preferred shares issued 130
Balance at end of period 130 130
Common Shares
Balance at beginning of year 743 733
Common shares issued, net 6 7
Purchases of common shares under share repurchase program (58 )
Balance at end of period 691 740
Additional Paid-in Capital
Balance at beginning of year 1,944,304 1,595,440
Cumulative effect of change in accounting for unearned stock grant compensation (9,646 )
Series A non-cumulative preferred shares issued 193,377
Series B non-cumulative preferred shares issued 120,881
Common shares issued 405 410
Exercise of stock options 15,094 17,585
Common shares retired (403,027 ) (1,279 )
Amortization of share-based compensation 19,552 11,621
Other 956 525
Balance at end of period 1,577,284 1,928,914
Deferred Compensation Under Share Award Plan
Balance at beginning of year (9,646 )
Cumulative effect of change in accounting for unearned stock grant compensation 9,646
Balance at end of period
Retained Earnings
Balance at beginning of year 1,593,907 901,348
Adjustment to adopt SFAS No. 155, Accounting for Certain Hybrid Financial Instrumentsan amendment of FASB Statements No. 133 and 140 2,111
Balance at beginning of year, as adjusted 1,596,018 901,348
Dividends declared on preferred shares (19,383 ) (14,194 )
Net income 617,073 467,475
Balance at end of period 2,193,708 1,354,629
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)
Balance at beginning of year 51,535 (7,348 )
Adjustment to adopt SFAS No. 155, Accounting for Certain Hybrid Financial Instrumentsan amendment of FASB Statements No. 133 and 140 (2,111 )
Balance at beginning of year, as adjusted 49,424 (7,348 )
Change in unrealized appreciation in value of investments, net of deferred income tax 38,303 72,408
Foreign currency translation adjustments, net of deferred income tax 15,255 (3,224 )
Balance at end of period 102,982 61,836
Total Shareholders Equity $ 3,874,795 $ 3,346,249
ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
(U.S. dollars in thousands)
(Unaudited)
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
20072006
Comprehensive Income
Net income $ 617,073 $ 467,475
Other comprehensive income, net of deferred income tax
Unrealized decline in value of investments:
Unrealized holding gains arising during period 54,596 22,675
Reclassification of net realized (gains) losses, net of income taxes,
included in net income
(16,293 ) 49,733
Foreign currency translation adjustments 15,255 (3,224 )
Other comprehensive income 53,558 69,184
Comprehensive Income $ 670,631 $ 536,659

ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(U.S. dollars in thousands)
(Unaudited)
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
20072006
Operating Activities
Net income $ 617,073 $ 467,475
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by
operating activities:
Net realized (gains) losses (9,180 ) 46,788
Other income (3,565 )
Share-based compensation 19,552 11,621
Changes in:
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable 454,607 684,107
Unearned premiums, net of prepaid reinsurance premiums 96,585 104,009
Premiums receivable (149,684 ) (228,099 )
Deferred acquisition costs, net (10,943 ) 3,551
Funds held by reinsureds 6,083 73,759
Reinsurance balances payable 31,496 162,430
Deferred income tax assets, net (7,209 ) (6,419 )
Other liabilities 30,682 40,646
Other items, net 28,089 (109,882 )
Net Cash Provided By Operating Activities 1,103,586 1,249,986
Investing Activities
Purchases of fixed maturity investments (14,351,106 ) (11,905,546 )
Proceeds from sales of fixed maturity investments 13,639,106 10,328,588
Proceeds from redemptions and maturities of fixed maturity investments 494,512 371,202
Purchases of other investments (229,227 ) (215,052 )
Proceeds from sales of other investments 62,329 6,329
Net purchases of short-term investments (368,123 ) (182,394 )
Change in securities lending collateral (28,930 ) 48,949
Purchases of furniture, equipment and other (12,605 ) (9,032 )
Net Cash Used For Investing Activities (794,044 ) (1,556,956 )
Financing Activities
Purchases of common shares under share repurchase program (400,705 )
Proceeds from common shares issued, net 8,639 12,165
Proceeds from preferred shares issued, net of issuance costs 314,388
Change in securities lending collateral 28,930 (48,949 )
Excess tax benefits from share-based compensation 4,289 3,706
Preferred dividends paid (19,383 ) (10,892 )
Net Cash (Used For) Provided By Financing Activities (378,230 ) 270,418
Effects of exchange rate changes on foreign currency cash 2,475 2,214
Decrease in cash (66,213 ) (34,338 )
Cash beginning of year 317,017 222,477
Cash end of period $ 250,804 $ 188,139
Income taxes paid, net $ 3,117 $ 35,446
Interest paid $ 11,025 $ 11,067

ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SEGMENT INFORMATION

The Company classifies its businesses into two underwriting segments insurance and reinsurance and a corporate and other segment (non-underwriting). The Companys insurance and reinsurance operating segments each have segment managers who are responsible for the overall profitability of their respective segments and who are directly accountable to the Companys chief operating decision makers, the President and Chief Executive Officer of ACGL and the Chief Financial Officer of ACGL. The chief operating decision makers do not assess performance, measure return on equity or make resource allocation decisions on a line of business basis. The Company determined its reportable operating segments using the management approach described in SFAS No. 131, Disclosures About Segments of an Enterprise and Related Information.

Management measures segment performance based on underwriting income or loss. The Company does not manage its assets by segment and, accordingly, investment income is not allocated to each underwriting segment. In addition, other revenue and expense items are not evaluated by segment. The accounting policies of the segments are the same as those used for the preparation of the Companys consolidated financial statements. Inter-segment insurance business is allocated to the segment accountable for the underwriting results.

The insurance segment consists of the Companys insurance underwriting subsidiaries which primarily write on both an admitted and non-admitted basis. The insurance segment consists of eight specialty product lines, including: casualty; construction, surety and national accounts; executive assurance; healthcare; professional liability; programs; property, marine and aviation; and other (consisting of collateral protection, excess workers compensation and employers liability business).

The reinsurance segment consists of the Companys reinsurance underwriting subsidiaries. The reinsurance segment generally seeks to write significant lines on specialty property and casualty reinsurance treaties. Classes of business include: casualty; marine and aviation; other specialty; property catastrophe; property excluding property catastrophe (losses on a single risk, both excess of loss and pro rata); and other (consisting of non-traditional and casualty clash business).

The corporate and other segment (non-underwriting) includes net investment income, other income (loss), other expenses incurred by the Company, interest expense, net realized gains or losses, net foreign exchange gains or losses and income taxes. In addition, results for the corporate and other segment include dividends on the Companys non-cumulative preferred shares.

The following tables set forth underwriting income or loss by segment, together with a reconciliation of underwriting income to net income available to common shareholders:

(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
September 30, 2007
(U.S. dollars in thousands) InsuranceReinsuranceTotal
Gross premiums written (1) $ 722,688 $ 286,272 $ 999,159
Net premiums written 460,019 234,611 694,630
Net premiums earned $ 429,584 $ 305,945 $ 735,529
Fee income 1,036 574 1,610
Losses and loss adjustment expenses (273,896 ) (128,799 ) (402,695 )
Acquisition expenses, net (52,880 ) (78,544 ) (131,424 )
Other operating expenses (68,548 ) (22,153 ) (90,701 )
Underwriting income $ 35,296 $ 77,023 112,319
Net investment income 113,181
Net realized gains 14,147
Other income 2,696
Other expenses (4,844 )
Interest expense (5,524 )
Net foreign exchange losses (23,656 )
Income before income taxes 208,319
Income tax expense (2,113 )
Net income 206,206
Preferred dividends (6,461 )
Net income available to common shareholders $ 199,745
Underwriting Ratios
Loss ratio 63.8 % 42.1 % 54.7 %
Acquisition expense ratio (2) 12.1 % 25.7 % 17.8 %
Other operating expense ratio 16.0 % 7.2 % 12.3 %
Combined ratio 91.9 % 75.0 % 84.8 %

(1)  Certain amounts included in the gross premiums written of each segment are related to intersegment transactions and are included in the gross premiums written of each segment. Accordingly, the sum of gross premiums written for each segment does not agree to the total gross premiums written as shown in the table above due to the elimination of intersegment transactions in the total.

(2)  The acquisition expense ratio is adjusted to include certain fee income.

(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
September 30, 2006
(U.S. dollars in thousands) InsuranceReinsuranceTotal
Gross premiums written (1) $ 750,609 $ 366,833 $ 1,105,165
Net premiums written 470,619 276,606 747,225
Net premiums earned $ 424,657 $ 332,916 $ 757,573
Fee income 1,293 976 2,269
Losses and loss adjustment expenses (261,553 ) (184,195 ) (445,748 )
Acquisition expenses, net (43,162 ) (74,367 ) (117,529 )
Other operating expenses (63,350 ) (12,987 ) (76,337 )
Underwriting income $ 57,885 $ 62,343 120,228
Net investment income 101,622
Net realized losses (11,115 )
Other income
Other expenses (6,454 )
Interest expense (5,361 )
Net foreign exchange losses (4,251 )
Income before income taxes 194,669
Income tax expense (2,371 )
Net income 192,298
Preferred dividends (6,488 )
Net income available to common shareholders $ 185,810
Underwriting Ratios
Loss ratio 61.6 % 55.3 % 58.8 %
Acquisition expense ratio (2) 10.0 % 22.3 % 15.4 %
Other operating expense ratio 14.9 % 3.9 % 10.1 %
Combined ratio 86.5 % 81.5 % 84.3 %

(1) Certain amounts included in the gross premiums written of each segment are related to intersegment transactions and are included in the gross premiums written of each segment. Accordingly, the sum of gross premiums written for each segment does not agree to the total gross premiums written as shown in the table above due to the elimination of intersegment transactions in the total.

(2) The acquisition expense ratio is adjusted to include certain fee income.

(Unaudited)
Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2007
(U.S. dollars in thousands) InsuranceReinsuranceTotal
Gross premiums written (1) $2,068,623 $1,272,274 $3,311,983
Net premiums written 1,340,191 984,079 2,324,270
Net premiums earned $1,275,991 $956,443 $2,232,434
Fee income 3,737 1,933 5,670
Losses and loss adjustment expenses (805,876) (442,543) (1,248,419)
Acquisition expenses, net (147,107) (221,722) (368,829)
Other operating expenses (207,711) (55,933) (263,644)
Underwriting income $119,034 $238,178 357,212
Net investment income 343,169
Net realized gains 9,409
Other income 3,565
Other expenses (23,219)
Interest expense (16,570)
Net foreign exchange losses (39,848)
Income before income taxes 633,718
Income tax expense (16,645)
Net income 617,073
Preferred dividends (19,383)
Net income available to common shareholders $597,690
Underwriting Ratios
Loss ratio 63.2% 46.3% 55.9%
Acquisition expense ratio (2) 11.3% 23.2% 16.4%
Other operating expense ratio 16.3% 5.8% 11.8%
Combined ratio 90.8% 75.3% 84.1%

(1)  Certain amounts included in the gross premiums written of each segment are related to intersegment transactions and are included in the gross premiums written of each segment. Accordingly, the sum of gross premiums written for each segment does not agree to the total gross premiums written as shown in the table above due to the elimination of intersegment transactions in the total.

(2)  The acquisition expense ratio is adjusted to include certain fee income.

(Unaudited)
Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2006
(U.S. dollars in thousands) InsuranceReinsuranceTotal
Gross premiums written (1) $ 2,013,910 $ 1,430,742 $ 3,409,253
Net premiums written 1,277,175 1,138,327 2,415,502
Net premiums earned $ 1,190,788 $ 1,125,836 $ 2,316,624
Fee income 3,950 3,592 7,542
Losses and loss adjustment expenses (760,727 ) (615,454 ) (1,376,181 )
Acquisition expenses, net (122,322 ) (273,460 ) (395,782 )
Other operating expenses (189,115 ) (40,418 ) (229,533 )
Underwriting income $ 122,574 $ 200,096 322,670
Net investment income 272,451
Net realized losses (46,700 )
Other income
Other expenses (20,602 )
Interest expense (16,567 )
Net foreign exchange losses (15,650 )
Income before income taxes 495,602
Income tax expense (28,127 )
Net income 467,475
Preferred dividends (14,194 )
Net income available to common shareholders $ 453,281
Underwriting Ratios
Loss ratio 63.9 % 54.7 % 59.4 %
Acquisition expense ratio (2) 10.1 % 24.3 % 17.0 %
Other operating expense ratio 15.9 % 3.6 % 9.9 %
Combined ratio 89.9 % 82.6 % 86.3 %

(1)  Certain amounts included in the gross premiums written of each segment are related to intersegment transactions and are included in the gross premiums written of each segment. Accordingly, the sum of gross premiums written for each segment does not agree to the total gross premiums written as shown in the table above due to the elimination of intersegment transactions in the total.

(2)  The acquisition expense ratio is adjusted to include certain fee income.

The following table sets forth the insurance segments net premiums written and earned by major line of business, together with net premiums written by client location:

(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
September 30,
20072006
INSURANCE SEGMENT
(U.S. dollars in thousands)
Amount% of TotalAmount% of Total
Net premiums written
Professional liability $ 94,816 20.6 $ 88,948 18.9
Property, marine and aviation 85,361 18.6 107,395 22.8
Programs 67,792 14.7 64,558 13.7
Construction, surety and national accounts 67,776 14.7 74,870 15.9
Executive assurance 46,845 10.2 51,769 11.0
Casualty 46,209 10.0 51,659 11.0
Healthcare 15,952 3.5 17,051 3.6
Other 35,268 (1) 7.7 14,369 3.1
Total $ 460,019 100.0 $ 470,619 100.0
Net premiums earned
Professional liability $ 81,726 19.0 $ 71,165 16.7
Property, marine and aviation 81,430 19.0 89,294 21.0
Programs 59,518 13.9 58,066 13.7
Construction, surety and national accounts 72,061 16.8 65,696 15.5
Executive assurance 46,481 10.8 49,641 11.7
Casualty 50,049 11.6 61,903 14.6
Healthcare 16,249 3.8 17,595 4.1
Other 22,070 (1) 5.1 11,297 2.7
Total $ 429,584 100.0 $ 424,657 100.0
Net premiums written by client location
United States $ 356,246 77.5 $ 364,726 77.5
Europe 57,686 12.5 69,012 14.7
Other 46,087 10.0 36,881 7.8
Total $ 460,019 100.0 $ 470,619 100.0

(1)  Includes excess workers compensation and employers liability business.

(Unaudited)
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
20072006
INSURANCE SEGMENT
(U.S. dollars in thousands)
Amount% of TotalAmount% of Total
Net premiums written
Property, marine and aviation $ 274,929 20.5 $ 250,753 19.6
Professional liability 246,822 18.4 214,957 16.8
Construction, surety and national accounts 215,487 16.1 222,216 17.4
Programs 185,270 13.8 181,604 14.2
Casualty 146,539 10.9 169,052 13.2
Executive assurance 138,840 10.4 151,201 11.9
Healthcare 49,866 3.7 49,365 3.9
Other 82,438 (1) 6.2 38,027 3.0
Total $ 1,340,191 100.0 $ 1,277,175 100.0
Net premiums earned
Property, marine and aviation $ 255,621 20.0 $ 207,045 17.4
Professional liability 240,997 18.9 190,849 16.0
Construction, surety and national accounts 206,725 16.2 200,366 16.8
Programs 172,764 13.5 172,933 14.5
Casualty 154,161 12.1 185,832 15.6
Executive assurance 139,269 10.9 149,424 12.6
Healthcare 53,200 4.2 52,141 4.4
Other 53,254 (1) 4.2 32,198 2.7
Total $ 1,275,991 100.0 $ 1,190,788 100.0
Net premiums written by client location
United States $ 1,037,984 77.5 $ 1,032,924 80.9
Europe 193,589 14.4 156,525 12.2
Other 108,618 8.1 87,726 6.9
Total $ 1,340,191 100.0 $ 1,277,175 100.0

(1)  Includes excess workers compensation and employers liability business.

The following table sets forth the reinsurance segments net premiums written and earned by major line of business and type of business, together with net premiums written by client location:

(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
September 30,
20072006
REINSURANCE SEGMENT
(U.S. dollars in thousands)
Amount% of TotalAmount% of Total
Net premiums written
Casualty (1) $ 103,718 44.2 $ 131,719 47.6
Property excluding property catastrophe (2) 43,341 18.5 56,984 20.6
Property catastrophe 35,268 15.1 31,052 11.2
Other specialty 33,145 14.1 36,798 13.3
Marine and aviation 17,903 7.6 21,774 7.9
Other 1,236 0.5 (1,721 ) (0.6 )
Total $ 234,611 100.0 $ 276,606 100.0
Net premiums earned
Casualty (1) $ 115,862 37.9 $ 151,820 45.6
Property excluding property catastrophe (2) 62,699 20.5 71,192 21.4
Property catastrophe 53,703 17.5 38,378 11.5
Other specialty 49,232 16.1 48,865 14.7
Marine and aviation 21,889 7.2 22,929 6.9
Other 2,560 0.8 (268 ) (0.1 )
Total $ 305,945 100.0 $ 332,916 100.0
Net premiums written
Pro rata $ 185,329 79.0 $ 220,552 79.7
Excess of loss 49,282 21.0 56,054 20.3
Total $ 234,611 100.0 $ 276,606 100.0
Net premiums earned
Pro rata $ 211,169 69.0 $ 243,473 73.1
Excess of loss 94,776 31.0 89,443 26.9
Total $ 305,945 100.0 $ 332,916 100.0
Net premiums written by client location
United States $ 129,079 55.0 $ 145,647 52.7
Bermuda 49,028 20.9 38,285 13.8
Europe 43,481 18.5 67,064 24.2
Other 13,023 5.6 25,610 9.3
Total $ 234,611 100.0 $ 276,606 100.0

(1)  Includes professional liability and executive assurance business.

(2)  Includes facultative business.

(Unaudited)
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
20072006
REINSURANCE SEGMENT
(U.S. dollars in thousands)
Amount% of TotalAmount% of Total
Net premiums written
Casualty (1) $ 358,300 36.4 $ 470,823 41.4
Property excluding property catastrophe (2) 207,638 21.1 252,551 22.2
Property catastrophe 193,441 19.7 135,174 11.9
Other specialty 135,112 13.7 194,555 17.1
Marine and aviation 81,430 8.3 83,752 7.3
Other 8,158 0.8 1,472 0.1
Total $ 984,079 100.0 $ 1,138,327 100.0
Net premiums earned
Casualty (1) $ 387,418 40.5 $ 506,491 45.0
Property excluding property catastrophe (2) 200,475 21.0 232,480 20.6
Property catastrophe 126,545 13.2 136,965 12.2
Other specialty 153,856 16.1 177,754 15.8
Marine and aviation 78,532 8.2 70,280 6.2
Other 9,617 1.0 1,866 0.2
Total $ 956,443 100.0 $ 1,125,836 100.0
Net premiums written
Pro rata $ 634,116 64.4 $ 781,525 68.7
Excess of loss 349,963 35.6 356,802 31.3
Total $ 984,079 100.0 $ 1,138,327 100.0
Net premiums earned
Pro rata $ 682,423 71.4 $ 860,199 76.4
Excess of loss 274,020 28.6 265,637 23.6
Total $ 956,443 100.0 $ 1,125,836 100.0
Net premiums written by client location
United States $ 589,526 59.9 $ 651,639 57.2
Europe 205,529 20.9 305,990 26.9
Bermuda 147,720 15.0 105,967 9.3
Other 41,304 4.2 74,731 6.6
Total $ 984,079 100.0 $ 1,138,327 100.0

(1)  Includes professional liability and executive assurance business.

(2)  Includes facultative business.

Discussion of 2007 Third Quarter Performance

Insurance Segment

(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
September 30,
(U.S. dollars in thousands) 20072006
Gross premiums written $ 722,688 $ 750,609
Net premiums written 460,019 470,619
Net premiums earned 429,584 424,657
Underwriting income 35,296 57,885
Loss ratio 63.8 % 61.6 %
Acquisition expense ratio 12.1 % 10.0 %
Other operating expense ratio 16.0 % 14.9 %
Combined ratio 91.9 % 86.5 %

Gross premiums written by the insurance segment in the 2007 third quarter were 3.7% lower than in the 2006 third quarter, while net premiums written were 2.3% lower. Net premiums written were lower across most of the insurance segments lines of business, partially offset by growth in excess workers compensation and employers liability business, a line of business which the insurance segment began writing in 2007 (included in other). Net premiums earned by the insurance segment in the 2007 third quarter were 1.2% higher than in the 2006 third quarter, and reflect changes in net premiums written over the previous five quarters, including the mix and type of business written.

The insurance segments loss ratio was 63.8% in the 2007 third quarter, compared to 61.6% for the 2006 third quarter. Large loss activity contributed 3.8 points to the loss ratio in the 2007 third quarter, while the 2006 third quarter did not include significant large loss activity. The 2007 third quarter loss ratio reflected a 1.9 point reduction related to estimated net favorable development in prior year loss reserves, compared to 1.2 points related to estimated net adverse development in prior year loss reserves in the 2006 third quarter. The estimated net favorable development in the 2007 third quarter was primarily in the healthcare and property lines of business.

The insurance segments underwriting expense ratio was 28.1% in the 2007 third quarter, compared to 24.9% in the 2006 third quarter. The acquisition expense ratio was 12.1% for the 2007 third quarter, compared to 10.0% for the 2006 third quarter. The acquisition expense ratio is influenced by, among other things, (1) the amount of ceding commissions received from unaffiliated reinsurers, (2) the amount of business written on a surplus lines (non-admitted) basis and (3) mix of business. The higher acquisition expense ratio in the 2007 third quarter primarily resulted from changes in the form of reinsurance ceded and changes in the mix of business and also included 0.2 points related to favorable prior year loss development. The insurance segments other operating expense ratio was 16.0% for the 2007 third quarter, compared to 14.9% for the 2006 third quarter. The 2006 third quarter ratio reflected the impact of several adjustments which reduced operating expenses in the period.

Reinsurance Segment

(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
September 30,
(U.S. dollars in thousands) 20072006
Gross premiums written $ 286,272 $ 366,833
Net premiums written 234,611 276,606
Net premiums earned 305,945 332,916
Underwriting income 77,023 62,343
Loss ratio 42.1 % 55.3 %
Acquisition expense ratio 25.7 % 22.3 %
Other operating expense ratio 7.2 % 3.9 %
Combined ratio 75.0 % 81.5 %

Gross premiums written by the reinsurance segment in the 2007 third quarter were 22.0% lower than in the 2006 third quarter, with reductions across most casualty and property lines. The decrease in casualty business was in response to increasing competition while the decline in property business primarily resulted from non-renewals and reductions in premium estimates for business written in prior periods. In general, the pricing environment for catastrophe-exposed property and marine lines remained attractive in the 2007 third quarter.

Ceded premiums written by the reinsurance segment were 18.0% of gross premiums written for the 2007 third quarter, compared to 24.6% for the 2006 third quarter. Arch Re Bermuda ceded $51.4 million, or 17.9% of gross premiums written, of certain lines of property and marine premiums written to Flatiron Re Ltd. in the 2007 third quarter, compared to $77.8 million, or 21.2%, in the 2006 third quarter. The higher amount of business ceded in the 2006 third quarter primarily resulted from an increase in the percentage of business ceded by Arch Re Bermuda to Flatiron Re Ltd. from 45% to 70% of all covered business bound between June 28, 2006 to August 15, 2006. The ceding percentage for all business bound outside of this period was 45%. On an earned basis, Arch Re Bermuda ceded $68.0 million to Flatiron Re Ltd. in the 2007 third quarter, compared to $52.0 million in the 2006 third quarter. Primarily as a result of the lower level of business ceded to Flatiron Re Ltd. in the 2007 third quarter discussed above, the decrease in net premiums written was lower than the decrease in gross premiums written.

Net premiums earned by the reinsurance segment in the 2007 third quarter were 8.1% lower than in the 2006 third quarter. The decrease in net premiums earned in the 2007 third quarter primarily resulted from changes in net premiums written over the previous five quarters, including the mix and type of business written.

The reinsurance segments loss ratio was 42.1% in the 2007 third quarter, compared to 55.3% for the 2006 third quarter. The loss ratio for the 2007 third quarter reflected a 17.9 point reduction related to estimated net favorable development in prior year loss reserves, compared to an 8.3 point reduction in the 2006 third quarter. The estimated net favorable development in the 2007 third quarter was primarily attributable to short-tail lines of business. The 2007 third quarter loss ratio also reflected approximately 6.5 points of catastrophic activity, while the 2006 third quarter loss ratio reflected approximately 2.7 points of catastrophic activity. In addition, the 2007 third quarter loss ratio compared to the 2006 third quarter benefited from better experience recorded in the other specialty line as well as from a lower level of attritional losses recorded in property business.

The underwriting expense ratio for the reinsurance segment was 32.9% in the 2007 third quarter, compared to 26.2% in the 2006 third quarter. The acquisition expense ratio for the 2007 third quarter was 25.7%, compared to 22.3% for the 2006 third quarter. The acquisition expense ratio for the 2007 third quarter included 4.1 points related to favorable prior year loss development, compared to a decrease of 0.5 points in the 2006 third quarter. In addition, the acquisition expense ratio included commission income (in excess of the reimbursement of direct acquisition expenses) on the quota-share reinsurance treaty with Flatiron Re Ltd. which reduced the 2007 third quarter acquisition expense ratio by 2.6 points, compared to 2.4 points in the 2006 third quarter. The acquisition expense ratio is also influenced by, among other things, the mix and type of business written and earned. The reinsurance segments other operating expense ratio was 7.2% for the 2007 third quarter, compared to 3.9% for the 2006 third quarter. The higher ratio in the 2007 third quarter primarily resulted from expenses related to the reinsurance segments property facultative reinsurance operation, which commenced operations during the 2007 second quarter, and a lower level of net premiums earned.

Contacts:

Arch Capital Group Ltd.
John D. Vollaro, 441-278-9250
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

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